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Real GDP at market prices, Canada, quarterly (chained 2017 dollars, seasonally adjusted at annual rates)

SeriesActualPreliminary

Latest: $2,524,127,000,000 ($2.5T) (2026-Q2)

Period
2014-Q1 to 2026-Q2
Unit
Canadian dollars
Real GDP at market prices, Canada, quarterly (chained 2017 dollars, seasonally adjusted at annual rates), by period
PeriodValueStatus
2014-Q1$2.0TActual
2014-Q2$2.0TActual
2014-Q3$2.1TActual
2014-Q4$2.1TActual
2015-Q1$2.1TActual
2015-Q2$2.1TActual
2015-Q3$2.1TActual
2015-Q4$2.1TActual
2016-Q1$2.1TActual
2016-Q2$2.1TActual
2016-Q3$2.1TActual
2016-Q4$2.1TActual
2017-Q1$2.1TActual
2017-Q2$2.1TActual
2017-Q3$2.1TActual
2017-Q4$2.2TActual
2018-Q1$2.2TActual
2018-Q2$2.2TActual
2018-Q3$2.2TActual
2018-Q4$2.2TActual
2019-Q1$2.2TActual
2019-Q2$2.2TActual
2019-Q3$2.2TActual
2019-Q4$2.3TActual
2020-Q1$2.2TActual
2020-Q2$2.0TActual
2020-Q3$2.1TActual
2020-Q4$2.2TActual
2021-Q1$2.2TActual
2021-Q2$2.2TActual
2021-Q3$2.3TActual
2021-Q4$2.3TActual
2022-Q1$2.3TActual
2022-Q2$2.4TActual
2022-Q3$2.4TActual
2022-Q4$2.4TActual
2023-Q1$2.4TActual
2023-Q2$2.4TActual
2023-Q3$2.4TActual
2023-Q4$2.4TActual
2024-Q1$2.4TActual
2024-Q2$2.4TActual
2024-Q3$2.5TActual
2024-Q4$2.5TActual
2025-Q1$2.5TActual
2025-Q2$2.5TActual
2025-Q3$2.5TActual
2025-Q4$2.5TActual
2026-Q1$2.5TPreliminary
2026-Q2$2.5TPreliminary

Chained 2017 dollars, not current dollars. Annual values used on the page are the average of the four quarters, which matches the annual Canada series in table 36-10-0222-01 to within $1 million for 2014-2024. The two 2026 quarters are the latest estimates and will be revised. Statistics Canada states these dollar levels cannot be compared with other countries.

Population of Canada on the first day of each quarter

SeriesActualPreliminary

Latest: 41,716,698 (2026-01-01)

Period
2014-01-01 to 2026-01-01
Unit
Persons
Population of Canada on the first day of each quarter, by period
PeriodValueStatus
2014-01-0135,247,023Actual
2014-04-0135,320,540Actual
2014-07-0135,434,066Actual
2014-10-0135,555,305Actual
2015-01-0135,571,043Actual
2015-04-0135,606,734Actual
2015-07-0135,704,498Actual
2015-10-0135,823,591Actual
2016-01-0135,871,484Actual
2016-04-0135,970,407Actual
2016-07-0136,110,803Actual
2016-10-0136,257,421Actual
2017-01-0136,313,068Actual
2017-04-0136,397,141Actual
2017-07-0136,545,075Actual
2017-10-0136,722,075Actual
2018-01-0136,801,579Actual
2018-04-0136,903,671Actual
2018-07-0137,072,620Actual
2018-10-0137,259,485Actual
2019-01-0137,336,956Actual
2019-04-0137,437,243Actual
2019-07-0137,618,495Actual
2019-10-0137,828,162Actual
2020-01-0137,928,208Actual
2020-04-0138,006,941Actual
2020-07-0138,028,638Actual
2020-10-0138,027,406Actual
2021-01-0138,058,291Actual
2021-04-0138,140,918Actual
2021-07-0138,239,864Actual
2021-10-0138,462,457Actual
2022-01-0138,559,788Actual
2022-04-0138,678,014Actual
2022-07-0138,945,628Actual
2022-10-0139,278,574Actual
2023-01-0139,477,134Actual
2023-04-0139,684,191Actual
2023-07-0140,022,704Actual
2023-10-0140,439,108Actual
2024-01-0140,670,178Actual
2024-04-0140,912,561Actual
2024-10-0141,373,096Actual
2025-01-0141,435,888Actual
2025-10-0141,723,923Preliminary
2026-01-0141,716,698Preliminary

Includes non-permanent residents (temporary residents). On 2026-09-23 Statistics Canada revised non-permanent resident estimates, and therefore population, back to July 1, 2021, a larger-than-usual update in its words. Points from July 1, 2025 are preliminary. The quarter-start dates already registered in the population domain (2024-07-01, 2025-04-01, 2025-07-01, 2026-04-01, 2026-07-01) are not repeated here, so each date has one value in the registry.

Real GDP per capita, Canada, quarterly, as published by Statistics Canada (chained 2017 dollars)

SeriesActualPreliminary

Latest: $60,944 (2026-Q2)

Period
2015-Q1 to 2026-Q2
Unit
Canadian dollars
Real GDP per capita, Canada, quarterly, as published by Statistics Canada (chained 2017 dollars), by period
PeriodValueStatus
2015-Q1$57,813Actual
2015-Q2$57,597Actual
2015-Q3$57,645Actual
2015-Q4$57,491Actual
2016-Q1$57,754Actual
2016-Q2$57,309Actual
2016-Q3$57,678Actual
2016-Q4$57,767Actual
2017-Q1$58,404Actual
2017-Q2$58,883Actual
2017-Q3$58,663Actual
2017-Q4$58,676Actual
2018-Q1$59,230Actual
2018-Q2$59,527Actual
2018-Q3$59,555Actual
2018-Q4$59,396Actual
2019-Q1$59,415Actual
2019-Q2$59,905Actual
2019-Q3$59,783Actual
2019-Q4$59,621Actual
2020-Q1$58,304Actual
2020-Q2$51,783Actual
2020-Q3$56,455Actual
2020-Q4$57,517Actual
2021-Q1$58,450Actual
2021-Q2$58,255Actual
2021-Q3$59,274Actual
2021-Q4$60,011Actual
2022-Q1$60,447Actual
2022-Q2$60,933Actual
2022-Q3$61,020Actual
2022-Q4$60,539Actual
2023-Q1$60,840Actual
2023-Q2$60,591Actual
2023-Q3$60,134Actual
2023-Q4$59,543Actual
2024-Q1$59,598Actual
2024-Q2$59,695Actual
2024-Q3$59,787Actual
2024-Q4$59,870Actual
2025-Q1$60,182Actual
2025-Q2$59,993Actual
2025-Q3$60,208Actual
2025-Q4$60,169Actual
2026-Q1$60,368Preliminary
2026-Q2$60,944Preliminary

Released 2026-08-28, before the 2026-09-23 population revision, so values from 2021 Q3 use the older population. Up to 2021 Q3 each value equals quarterly GDP (SAAR) divided by population at the start of the quarter.

Real GDP at market prices, Alberta, annual (chained 2017 dollars)

SeriesActual

Latest: $367,719,000,000 ($367.7B) (2024)

Period
2014 to 2024
Unit
Canadian dollars
Real GDP at market prices, Alberta, annual (chained 2017 dollars), by period
PeriodValue
2014$342.0B
2015$329.3B
2016$318.0B
2017$332.3B
2018$339.0B
2019$339.3B
2020$312.7B
2021$329.1B
2022$348.4B
2023$357.0B
2024$367.7B

Statistics Canada has not yet published 2025 in this series. Its first 2025 estimate, by industry at basic prices (table 36-10-0711-01, May 1, 2026), has Alberta real GDP up 2.7% and real GDP per person roughly flat (+0.1%).

Real GDP at basic prices, all industries, Alberta (chained 2017 dollars)

SeriesActualPreliminary

Latest: $361,470,800,000 ($361.5B) (2025)

Period
2024 to 2025
Unit
Canadian dollars
Real GDP at basic prices, all industries, Alberta (chained 2017 dollars), by period
PeriodValueStatus
2024$352.1BActual
2025$361.5BPreliminary

Statistics Canada's first estimate for 2025 (The Daily, May 1, 2026: Alberta +2.7%, Canada +1.6%). A different measure from the market-price series for 2014 to 2024; revised provincial estimates are due in November 2026.

Population of Alberta on July 1

SeriesActual

Latest: 4,688,032 (2023-07-01)

Period
2014-07-01 to 2023-07-01
Unit
Persons
Population of Alberta on July 1, by period
PeriodValue
2014-07-014,081,271
2015-07-014,150,147
2016-07-014,195,427
2017-07-014,237,310
2018-07-014,292,556
2019-07-014,355,377
2020-07-014,407,495
2021-07-014,431,531
2022-07-014,513,589
2023-07-014,688,032

Includes non-permanent residents. Revised on 2026-09-23 back to July 1, 2021. July 1 of 2024, 2025 and 2026 are registered in the population domain (population.alberta.<date>), so they are not repeated here.

Canada's real GDP per capita relative to the United States (index, 1997 Q1 = 100)

SeriesActual

Latest: 86.4 (2025-Q3)

Period
1997-Q1 to 2025-Q3
Unit
Index
Canada's real GDP per capita relative to the United States (index, 1997 Q1 = 100), by period
PeriodValue
1997-Q1100
1997-Q299.5
1997-Q399.5
1997-Q499.6
1998-Q1100.1
1998-Q299.3
1998-Q399
1998-Q498.9
1999-Q199.9
1999-Q299.9
1999-Q3100.2
1999-Q4100.1
2000-Q1101.4
2000-Q2100.7
2000-Q3101.6
2000-Q4101.2
2001-Q1102.2
2001-Q2101.8
2001-Q3102.1
2001-Q4102.3
2002-Q1103.1
2002-Q2102.9
2002-Q3103.4
2002-Q4103.8
2003-Q1103.9
2003-Q2102.8
2003-Q3101.5
2003-Q4100.9
2004-Q1101.2
2004-Q2101.6
2004-Q3101.8
2004-Q4101.4
2005-Q1100.8
2005-Q2100.9
2005-Q3101.3
2005-Q4101.6
2006-Q1101.2
2006-Q2101.1
2006-Q3101.1
2006-Q4100.5
2007-Q1101.1
2007-Q2101.4
2007-Q3101.1
2007-Q4100.5
2008-Q1101.1
2008-Q2100.9
2008-Q3102.1
2008-Q4103.1
2009-Q1102
2009-Q2100.9
2009-Q3100.9
2009-Q4100.9
2010-Q1101.6
2010-Q2101.2
2010-Q3101
2010-Q4101.3
2011-Q1102.5
2011-Q2102
2011-Q3103.3
2011-Q4102.8
2012-Q1102
2012-Q2101.8
2012-Q3101.7
2012-Q4101.6
2013-Q1101.6
2013-Q2101.9
2013-Q3101.6
2013-Q4101.7
2014-Q1102.3
2014-Q2101.8
2014-Q3101.5
2014-Q4101.6
2015-Q1100.3
2015-Q299.4
2015-Q399.3
2015-Q499.1
2016-Q199.2
2016-Q298.2
2016-Q398.4
2016-Q498.1
2017-Q198.9
2017-Q299.3
2017-Q398.3
2017-Q497.5
2018-Q197.7
2018-Q297.8
2018-Q397.4
2018-Q497.1
2019-Q196.6
2019-Q296.8
2019-Q395.6
2019-Q494.9
2020-Q194.1
2020-Q290.7
2020-Q391.9
2020-Q492.6
2021-Q192.8
2021-Q291
2021-Q391.9
2021-Q491.6
2022-Q192.6
2022-Q293.3
2022-Q393
2022-Q491.8
2023-Q191.8
2023-Q291
2023-Q389.5
2023-Q488.2
2024-Q188.2
2024-Q287.8
2024-Q387.3
2024-Q487.3
2025-Q187.8
2025-Q286.8
2025-Q386.4

Authors: Carter McCormack and Ryan Macdonald. An index of the Canada/US ratio: 100.3 in 2015 Q1 and 86.4 in 2025 Q3. The report says Canada kept pace with the United States from 1997 to 2015 and deteriorated steadily after the mid-2010s oil price shock, and names slower productivity growth as the principal reason Canada is falling behind.

Canada real GDP per capita, average quarterly annualized growth, 1997 Q1 to 2015 Q1

Actual

1.5%

Period
1997 Q1 to 2015 Q1
Unit
Ratio, shown as a percentage
Stored value
0.0153

An average of quarterly annualized growth rates, not a compound annual rate. Do not set it beside the compound rates computed from table 36-10-0104-01.

United States real GDP per capita, average quarterly annualized growth, 1997 Q1 to 2015 Q1

Actual

1.5%

Period
1997 Q1 to 2015 Q1
Unit
Ratio, shown as a percentage
Stored value
0.0152

An average of quarterly annualized growth rates, not a compound annual rate. Do not set it beside the compound rates computed from table 36-10-0104-01.

Canada real GDP per capita, average quarterly annualized growth, 2015 Q1 to 2025 Q3

Actual

0.8%

Period
2015 Q1 to 2025 Q3
Unit
Ratio, shown as a percentage
Stored value
0.0082

An average of quarterly annualized growth rates, not a compound annual rate. Do not set it beside the compound rates computed from table 36-10-0104-01.

United States real GDP per capita, average quarterly annualized growth, 2015 Q1 to 2025 Q3

Actual

2.1%

Period
2015 Q1 to 2025 Q3
Unit
Ratio, shown as a percentage
Stored value
0.0207

An average of quarterly annualized growth rates, not a compound annual rate. Do not set it beside the compound rates computed from table 36-10-0104-01.

Statistics Canada on Canada's per capita output relative to the United States (2026)

Actual
“steady deterioration of Canada’s relative per capita output”
Period
2026-03-25
Unit
Verbatim text

The sentence dates the deterioration from the oil price shock in the mid-2010s.

Real GDP per capita, Canada, US dollars at constant 2020 PPPs (OECD)

SeriesActual

Latest: 52,147.8 (2025)

Period
2015 to 2025
Unit
Index
Real GDP per capita, Canada, US dollars at constant 2020 PPPs (OECD), by period
PeriodValue
201549,999.2
202552,147.8

US dollars per person. Stored under unit "index" only because the registry has no US-dollar unit: show the derived percentage change, never this level with a $ sign.

Real GDP per capita, United States, US dollars at constant 2020 PPPs (OECD)

SeriesActualEstimate

Latest: 73,539.9 (2025)

Period
2015 to 2025
Unit
Index
Real GDP per capita, United States, US dollars at constant 2020 PPPs (OECD), by period
PeriodValueStatus
201561,502Actual
202573,539.9Estimate

US dollars per person; the OECD flags the 2025 value as estimated. Stored under unit "index" because the registry has no US-dollar unit.

Canada's rank among OECD members by growth in real GDP per capita, 2015 to 2025 (1 = fastest)

Estimate

35

Period
2015 to 2025
Unit
Count
Stored value
35

drained.ca ranking from the OECD query linked here: 37 of the 38 members have both 2015 and 2025 values (Costa Rica has a 2015 value but no 2025 value). Canada, +4.3%, ranks 35th; only Mexico (+1.6%) and Luxembourg (-2.1%) grew less. The United States, +19.6%, ranks 12th.

OECD member countries with real GDP per capita for both 2015 and 2025

Actual

37

Period
2015 to 2025
Unit
Count
Stored value
37

Costa Rica has a 2015 value but no 2025 value in this dataset.

OECD projection of Canada's potential real GDP per capita growth, 2020-2030 (per year)

Forecast

0.7%

Period
2020 to 2030
Unit
Ratio, shown as a percentage
Stored value
0.007

A 2021 projection of potential (trend) output, not a forecast of actual growth. Tied with Italy for the lowest of the 38 OECD members in the table.

OECD projection of Canada's potential real GDP per capita growth, 2030-2060 (per year)

Forecast

0.8%

Period
2030 to 2060
Unit
Ratio, shown as a percentage
Stored value
0.008

A 2021 projection of potential output. Tied with Korea for the lowest of the 38 OECD members in the table. United States: 1.2% (2020-30) and 1.0% (2030-60).

Carolyn Rogers, Senior Deputy Governor, Bank of Canada, on productivity (Halifax, March 26, 2024)

Actual
“I’m saying that it’s an emergency—it’s time to break the glass.”
Period
2024-03-26
Unit
Verbatim text

The speech is about labour productivity (output per hour). It does not blame immigration.

Canada's output per hour worked as a share of the United States, 2022

Estimate

71.0%

Period
2022
Unit
Ratio, shown as a percentage
Stored value
0.71

Rogers adds that among G7 countries only Italy fell further relative to the United States over the same period.

Quarterly change in real GDP as first published by Statistics Canada

SeriesPreliminary

Latest: 0.8% (2026-Q2)

Period
2025-Q1 to 2026-Q2
Unit
Ratio, shown as a percentage
Quarterly change in real GDP as first published by Statistics Canada, by period
PeriodValueSource
2025-Q10.5%Statistics Canada, The Daily: Gross domestic product, income and expenditure, first quarter 2025, First paragraph
2025-Q2-0.4%Statistics Canada, The Daily: Gross domestic product, income and expenditure, second quarter 2025, First paragraph
2025-Q30.6%Statistics Canada, The Daily: Gross domestic product, income and expenditure, third quarter 2025, First paragraph
2025-Q4-0.2%Statistics Canada, The Daily: Gross domestic product, income and expenditure, fourth quarter 2025, First paragraph
2026-Q10.0%Statistics Canada, The Daily: Gross domestic product, income and expenditure, first quarter 2026, First paragraph ('unchanged') and indicator panel '0.0% (quarterly change)'
2026-Q20.8%Statistics Canada, The Daily: Gross domestic product, income and expenditure, second quarter 2026, First paragraph

Each point cites the release that first reported it; later releases revised them (see “Real GDP at market prices, Canada, quarterly (chained 2017 dollars, seasonally adjusted at annual rates)” for the current values). The November 28, 2025 release revised 2025 Q2 to -0.5%.

Real GDP at market prices, SAAR, as published on May 29, 2026 (chained 2017 dollars)

SeriesPreliminary

Latest: $2,500,680,000,000 ($2.5T) (2026-Q1)

Period
2025-Q4 to 2026-Q1
Unit
Canadian dollars
Real GDP at market prices, SAAR, as published on May 29, 2026 (chained 2017 dollars), by period
PeriodValue
2025-Q4$2.5T
2026-Q1$2.5T

The same table shows the quarterly change as -0.0 (annualized -0.1). Statistics Canada's text called the quarter unchanged. Superseded on 2026-08-28.

Statistics Canada, first estimate of real GDP for the first quarter of 2026 (May 29, 2026)

Actual
“Real gross domestic product (GDP) was unchanged in the first quarter of 2026”
Period
2026-05-29
Unit
Verbatim text

The sentence continues: after declining 0.2% in the fourth quarter of 2025. Statistics Canada did not describe it as a recession.

Quarterly change in real GDP, fourth quarter of 2025, as reported on May 29, 2026

Preliminary

-0.2%

Period
2025-Q4
Unit
Ratio, shown as a percentage
Stored value
-0.002

Superseded on 2026-08-28; the current estimate follows from the 2025-Q3 and 2025-Q4 levels in “Real GDP at market prices, Canada, quarterly (chained 2017 dollars, seasonally adjusted at annual rates)” (Table 36-10-0104-01, published 2026-08-28).

CBC News on the first-quarter 2026 GDP release (headline, May 29, 2026)

Actual
“slipped into a technical recession on an annualized basis”
Period
2026-05-29
Unit
Verbatim text

News reporting. The article adds that on a quarter-over-quarter basis the first quarter was unchanged, 'closely escaping the definition of a technical recession on a quarter-on-quarter basis.'

Global News on the first-quarter 2026 GDP release (headline, May 29, 2026)

Actual
“Canada slips into technical recession as economy stalls in Q1”
Period
2026-05-29
Unit
Verbatim text

News reporting. The article reports first-quarter GDP down 0.1% at an annualized rate after a revised 1.0% annualized decline in the fourth quarter of 2025.

Consecutive quarterly declines in real GDP per capita, as first reported for 2024 Q3

Preliminary

6

Period
2024 Q3
Unit
Count
Stored value
6

Statistics Canada: on a per capita basis, GDP fell 0.4% in the third quarter of 2024, which was the sixth consecutive quarterly decline. The August 30, 2024 release had reported the fifth. After later revisions, the current series shows three consecutive declines (2023 Q2 to Q4).

Consumer Price Index, all-items, Canada, annual average (2002 = 100), 2007 to 2014

SeriesActual

Latest: 125.2 (2014)

Period
2007 to 2014
Unit
Index
Consumer Price Index, all-items, Canada, annual average (2002 = 100), 2007 to 2014, by period
PeriodValue
2007111.5
2008114.1
2009114.4
2010116.5
2011119.9
2012121.7
2013122.8
2014125.2

The years before “Consumer Price Index, all-items, Canada, annual average (2002 = 100)”, from the same table and vector; the 2015 value read with them (126.6) matches that series. Used to put the waste hub's first figures of 2008 and 2013 into the dollars of the latest cost.

Consumer Price Index, all-items, Canada, annual average (2002 = 100)

SeriesActual

Latest: 164.2 (2025)

Period
2015 to 2025
Unit
Index
Consumer Price Index, all-items, Canada, annual average (2002 = 100), by period
PeriodValue
2015126.6
2016128.4
2017130.4
2018133.4
2019136
2020137
2021141.6
2022151.2
2023157.1
2024160.9
2025164.2

Used to express debt per person in 2025 dollars. Debt at March 31 of year Y is deflated with the calendar-year Y average, an approximation.

Immigrants (new permanent residents admitted), Canada, July-June years

SeriesActualPreliminary

Latest: 368,224 (2025/2026)

Period
2014/2015 to 2025/2026
Unit
Persons
Immigrants (new permanent residents admitted), Canada, July-June years, by period
PeriodValueStatus
2014/2015240,775Actual
2015/2016323,188Actual
2016/2017272,694Actual
2017/2018303,369Actual
2018/2019313,603Actual
2019/2020284,153Actual
2020/2021226,314Actual
2021/2022493,236Actual
2022/2023468,913Actual
2023/2024464,344Actual
2024/2025435,551Actual
2025/2026368,224Preliminary

Statistics Canada: net non-permanent residents are final up to 2022/2023, updated for 2023/2024 and 2024/2025, and preliminary for 2025/2026 (table note 11).

Net change in non-permanent (temporary) residents, Canada, July-June years

SeriesActualPreliminary

Latest: -154,614 (2025/2026)

Period
2014/2015 to 2025/2026
Unit
Persons
Net change in non-permanent (temporary) residents, Canada, July-June years, by period
PeriodValueStatus
2014/2015-9,841Actual
2015/201635,448Actual
2016/2017103,776Actual
2017/2018162,573Actual
2018/2019168,833Actual
2019/202075,265Actual
2020/2021-51,719Actual
2021/2022220,638Actual
2022/2023650,239Actual
2023/2024703,206Actual
2024/202534,305Actual
2025/2026-154,614Preliminary

Statistics Canada: net non-permanent residents are final up to 2022/2023, updated for 2023/2024 and 2024/2025, and preliminary for 2025/2026 (table note 11).

Births, Canada, July-June years

SeriesActualPreliminary

Latest: 374,708 (2025/2026)

Period
2014/2015 to 2025/2026
Unit
Persons
Births, Canada, July-June years, by period
PeriodValueStatus
2014/2015383,839Actual
2015/2016384,300Actual
2016/2017380,554Actual
2017/2018377,163Actual
2018/2019373,307Actual
2019/2020371,321Actual
2020/2021362,563Actual
2021/2022364,765Actual
2022/2023352,694Actual
2023/2024362,014Actual
2024/2025369,003Actual
2025/2026374,708Preliminary

Statistics Canada: net non-permanent residents are final up to 2022/2023, updated for 2023/2024 and 2024/2025, and preliminary for 2025/2026 (table note 11).

Deaths, Canada, July-June years

SeriesActualPreliminary

Latest: 337,064 (2025/2026)

Period
2014/2015 to 2025/2026
Unit
Persons
Deaths, Canada, July-June years, by period
PeriodValueStatus
2014/2015266,313Actual
2015/2016262,278Actual
2016/2017274,517Actual
2017/2018283,939Actual
2018/2019283,148Actual
2019/2020297,195Actual
2020/2021307,297Actual
2021/2022325,622Actual
2022/2023333,061Actual
2023/2024330,185Actual
2024/2025331,304Actual
2025/2026337,064Preliminary

Statistics Canada: net non-permanent residents are final up to 2022/2023, updated for 2023/2024 and 2024/2025, and preliminary for 2025/2026 (table note 11).

Net emigration (emigrants minus returning emigrants plus net temporary emigration), Canada, July-June years

SeriesActualPreliminary

Latest: 61,829 (2025/2026)

Period
2014/2015 to 2025/2026
Unit
Persons
Net emigration (emigrants minus returning emigrants plus net temporary emigration), Canada, July-June years, by period
PeriodValueStatus
2014/201554,044Actual
2015/201654,897Actual
2016/201756,480Actual
2017/201839,865Actual
2018/201934,966Actual
2019/202031,669Actual
2020/202125,726Actual
2021/202247,253Actual
2022/202361,709Actual
2023/202459,490Actual
2024/202561,166Actual
2025/202661,829Preliminary

Statistics Canada: net non-permanent residents are final up to 2022/2023, updated for 2023/2024 and 2024/2025, and preliminary for 2025/2026 (table note 11).

Statistics Canada's first estimate of 2023 population growth (March 27, 2024)

Actual
“the highest annual population growth rate (+3.2%) in Canada since 1957 (+3.3%)”
Period
2024-03-27
Unit
Verbatim text

First estimate; the sentence begins "This was". On current data (2026-09-23) 2023 growth is 3.0% (1,193,044 people). The same release says most of the growth came from temporary immigration.

Statistics Canada: becoming a permanent resident takes a person off the count of temporary residents

Actual
“an NPR who leaves the country, is deported, becomes a non-resident or obtains immigrant status leaves the NPR population: this is an outflow”
Period
2025-12-17
Unit
Verbatim text

The sentence begins 'Conversely,'. NPR is Statistics Canada's abbreviation for non-permanent resident; 'immigrant status' is permanent residence. The same section adds: 'Obtaining permanent residence also constitutes another type of outflow.'

Statistics Canada: comparing its counts of temporary residents with IRCC's needs caution

Actual
“caution should be exercised when comparing statistics from different sources, since they are compiled in different ways and serve different purposes”
Period
2025-12-17
Unit
Verbatim text

The sentence begins 'However,'. The paragraph opens: 'Other data sources on NPRs, temporary residents and asylum claimants are also available from Statistics Canada and IRCC.'

Non-permanent (temporary) residents living in Canada

SeriesActualPreliminary

Latest: 2,779,774 (2026-07-01)

Period
2021-07-01 to 2026-07-01
Unit
Persons
Non-permanent (temporary) residents living in Canada, by period
PeriodValueStatusSourceNote
2021-07-011,326,000ActualSeries source
2021-10-011,408,873ActualSeries source
2022-01-011,372,025ActualSeries source
2022-04-011,397,019ActualSeries source
2022-07-011,546,638ActualSeries source
2022-10-011,759,870ActualSeries source
2023-01-011,893,217ActualSeries source
2023-04-011,974,989ActualSeries source
2023-07-012,196,877ActualSeries source
2023-10-012,505,089ActualSeries source
2024-01-012,649,906ActualSeries source
2024-04-012,785,509ActualSeries source
2024-07-012,900,083ActualSeries source
2024-10-012,984,285ActualSeries sourceThe peak: 7.2% of the population (Statistics Canada, The Daily, 2026-09-23).
2025-01-012,952,596ActualSeries source
2025-04-012,925,722ActualSeries source
2025-07-012,934,388PreliminarySeries source
2025-10-012,942,949PreliminarySeries source
2026-01-012,863,151PreliminarySeries source
2026-04-012,798,649PreliminarySeries source
2026-07-012,779,774PreliminaryStatistics Canada, The Daily: Canada's population estimates: Age and gender, 2026, Section 'Number of non-permanent residents continues to decrease', first paragraphDown 154,614 from July 1, 2025: the largest annual (July to July) decrease since comparable records began in 1971/1972, according to Statistics Canada.

Work and study permit holders and their families, plus asylum claimants, protected persons and related groups. Revised on 2026-09-23 back to July 1, 2021, with a new adjustment for people on maintained status. Statistics Canada cautions against comparing these estimates with IRCC counts.

Temporary (non-permanent) residents in Canada, April 1, 2026, as first estimated (June 17, 2026)

Preliminary

2,558,562

Period
2026-04-01
Unit
Persons
Stored value
2558562

Superseded on September 23, 2026, when Statistics Canada revised its estimates of non-permanent residents back to July 1, 2021. The June release warned that larger-than-usual upward revisions were likely.

Non-permanent (temporary) residents living in Alberta

SeriesActualPreliminary

Latest: 279,477 (2026-07-01)

Period
2021-07-01 to 2026-07-01
Unit
Persons
Non-permanent (temporary) residents living in Alberta, by period
PeriodValueStatus
2021-07-0182,226Actual
2021-10-0185,984Actual
2022-01-0184,066Actual
2022-04-0184,892Actual
2022-07-0196,561Actual
2022-10-01114,991Actual
2023-01-01131,218Actual
2023-04-01146,414Actual
2023-07-01168,167Actual
2023-10-01199,410Actual
2024-01-01220,970Actual
2024-04-01246,540Actual
2024-07-01261,962Actual
2024-10-01275,152Actual
2025-01-01280,771Actual
2025-04-01281,595Actual
2025-07-01287,434Preliminary
2025-10-01292,366Preliminary
2026-01-01288,761Preliminary
2026-04-01281,105Preliminary
2026-07-01279,477Preliminary

Work and study permit holders and their families, plus asylum claimants, protected persons and related groups. Revised on 2026-09-23 back to July 1, 2021, with a new adjustment for people on maintained status. Statistics Canada cautions against comparing these estimates with IRCC counts.

Asylum claimants, protected persons and related groups living in Canada

SeriesActualPreliminary

Latest: 530,090 (2026-07-01)

Period
2021-07-01 to 2026-07-01
Unit
Persons
Asylum claimants, protected persons and related groups living in Canada, by period
PeriodValueStatus
2021-07-01168,239Actual
2021-10-01162,530Actual
2022-01-01161,144Actual
2022-04-01166,816Actual
2022-07-01178,610Actual
2022-10-01194,104Actual
2023-01-01218,905Actual
2023-04-01238,990Actual
2023-07-01257,424Actual
2023-10-01288,490Actual
2024-01-01328,511Actual
2024-04-01363,527Actual
2024-07-01398,918Actual
2024-10-01429,641Actual
2025-01-01459,896Actual
2025-04-01479,515Actual
2025-07-01497,266Preliminary
2025-10-01516,833Preliminary
2026-01-01530,155Preliminary
2026-04-01537,105Preliminary
2026-07-01530,090Preliminary

Work and study permit holders and their families, plus asylum claimants, protected persons and related groups. Revised on 2026-09-23 back to July 1, 2021, with a new adjustment for people on maintained status. Statistics Canada cautions against comparing these estimates with IRCC counts.

Non-permanent resident inflows, Alberta, quarterly

SeriesActual

Latest: 9,332 (2025-Q4)

Period
2023-Q1 to 2025-Q4
Unit
Persons
Non-permanent resident inflows, Alberta, quarterly, by period
PeriodValue
2023-Q124,940
2023-Q226,338
2023-Q339,172
2023-Q430,807
2024-Q135,179
2024-Q226,644
2024-Q329,073
2024-Q418,833
2025-Q112,579
2025-Q215,454
2025-Q316,737
2025-Q49,332

New temporary residents counted by Statistics Canada, by quarter. Calendar-year totals are sums of the four quarters.

Non-permanent resident inflows, Canada, quarterly

SeriesActual

Latest: 76,983 (2025-Q4)

Period
2023-Q1 to 2025-Q4
Unit
Persons
Non-permanent resident inflows, Canada, quarterly, by period
PeriodValue
2023-Q1208,918
2023-Q2300,105
2023-Q3430,470
2023-Q4293,380
2024-Q1273,335
2024-Q2248,700
2024-Q3268,076
2024-Q4148,309
2025-Q1115,759
2025-Q2138,366
2025-Q3163,373
2025-Q476,983

New temporary residents counted by Statistics Canada, by quarter. Calendar-year totals are sums of the four quarters.

Ottawa's annual immigration report to Parliament, 2022

Actual
“Immigration is critical to Canada’s economic growth”
Period
2022-11-01
Unit
Verbatim text

The sentence continues: and is key to supporting economic recovery. The same report says the 2023-25 Levels Plan will play an important role in economic growth, from filling labour shortages to closing labour market gaps. The page is now archived.

Immigration minister's goal for temporary residents, March 21, 2024

Actual
“a decrease in our temporary residents population to 5% over the next three years”
Period
2024-03-21
Unit
Verbatim text

The sentence begins 'As a starting point, we are targeting'. The next sentence: 'This target will be finalized in the fall'.

Federal goal: temporary residents at 5% of the population by the end of 2026 (2025-2027 levels plan, October 2024)

Forecast

5.0%

Period
End of 2026
Unit
Ratio, shown as a percentage
Stored value
0.05

The minister first announced the goal on March 21, 2024 as 5% 'over the next three years', a target to be finalized in the fall; IRCC's 2024 Annual Report to Parliament dates the end-2026 goal to that announcement. Moved in November 2025 to less than 5% by the end of 2027.

Federal goal: temporary residents below 5% of the population by the end of 2027 (November 2025)

Forecast

5.0%

Period
End of 2027
Unit
Ratio, shown as a percentage
Stored value
0.05

Stated as less than 5%. The PBO notes this is one year later than originally planned (RP-2526-025-S, p. 2).

Federal target for new temporary resident arrivals (students and workers), 2025

Forecast

673,650

Period
2025
Unit
Persons
Stored value
673650

The first levels plan with temporary resident targets ("introduced for the first time ever"). Range 604,900 to 742,400.

Federal target for new temporary resident arrivals (students and workers), 2026

Forecast

385,000

Period
2026
Unit
Persons
Stored value
385000

Down from 516,600 for 2026 in the previous plan. Range 375,000 to 395,000.

New permanent residents admitted to Canada, 2025 (approximate)

Actual

393,500

Period
2025
Unit
Persons
Stored value
393500

IRCC gives the total as approximate. The page date is the date shown under Page details; the note was prepared for the committee appearance of April 22, 2026.

Share of 2025 permanent resident admissions who had held a temporary permit

Actual

48.0%

Period
2025
Unit
Ratio, shown as a percentage
Stored value
0.48

IRCC's basis is 'prior permit holder status': anyone who had held a permit before, which can include people who applied from abroad; IRCC does not say whether it counts protected persons, who need no permit. Other IRCC publications count 'former temporary residents' (2022) or people with 'a prior study or work permit' (2022, narrower); the bases are not interchangeable.

Levels plan forecast: share of 2025 permanent resident admissions from temporary residents already in Canada (more than 40%)

Forecast

40.0%

Period
2025
Unit
Ratio, shown as a percentage
Stored value
0.4

IRCC wrote 'More than 40%'; the value is the floor it named. The plan counts people 'already in Canada as temporary residents'; the outcome, “Share of 2025 permanent resident admissions who had held a temporary permit”, counts 'prior permit holder status', a different basis, so the two are not a like-for-like comparison.

  • Immigration, Refugees and Citizenship Canada, Backgrounder: 2025–2027 Immigration Levels Plan (opens in a new tab)Bullet 'prioritizes in-Canada applicants and pathways for those already here': 'More than 40% of anticipated permanent resident admissions in 2025 will be from those who are already in Canada as temporary residents.'Published October 24, 2024. Accessed October 5, 2026.

IRCC's case for granting permanent residence to people already in Canada (September 2026)

Actual
“about half of new permanent residents were already living in Canada as non-permanent residents, and contributing to our economy”
Period
2026-09-15
Unit
Verbatim text

The sentence begins 'In recent years,'. The next sentence is “IRCC on what in-Canada transitions do for infrastructure and services (September 2026)”.

IRCC on what in-Canada transitions do for infrastructure and services (September 2026)

Actual
“This helps to limit additional pressures on infrastructure and social services”
Period
2026-09-15
Unit
Verbatim text

New permanent residents (Canada) who had held an International Mobility Program work permit, July 2025 to June 2026

Preliminary

119,690

Period
July 2025 to June 2026
Unit
Persons
Stored value
119690

Dataset 'Transition from Temporary Resident to Permanent Resident Status – Monthly IRCC Updates' (https://open.canada.ca/data/en/dataset/1b026aab-edb3-4d5d-8231-270a09ed4e82), last modified 2026-09-15. IRCC counts people granted permanent residence who had held this kind of permit at some time before; the table does not say whether they were in Canada when made permanent. A person can appear in more than one of IRCC's prior-status tables. Values are rounded to the nearest 5 (0 to 5 shown as '--'); the table is dated 'Source: IRCC, July 31, 2026' and its data are preliminary.

New permanent residents (Canada) who had held a Temporary Foreign Worker Program work permit, July 2025 to June 2026

Preliminary

9,500

Period
July 2025 to June 2026
Unit
Persons
Stored value
9500

Dataset 'Transition from Temporary Resident to Permanent Resident Status – Monthly IRCC Updates' (https://open.canada.ca/data/en/dataset/1b026aab-edb3-4d5d-8231-270a09ed4e82), last modified 2026-09-15. IRCC counts people granted permanent residence who had held this kind of permit at some time before; the table does not say whether they were in Canada when made permanent. A person can appear in more than one of IRCC's prior-status tables. Values are rounded to the nearest 5 (0 to 5 shown as '--'); the table is dated 'Source: IRCC, July 31, 2026' and its data are preliminary.

New permanent residents (Canada) who had held a study permit, July 2025 to June 2026

Preliminary

21,340

Period
July 2025 to June 2026
Unit
Persons
Stored value
21340

Dataset 'Transition from Temporary Resident to Permanent Resident Status – Monthly IRCC Updates' (https://open.canada.ca/data/en/dataset/1b026aab-edb3-4d5d-8231-270a09ed4e82), last modified 2026-09-15. IRCC counts people granted permanent residence who had held this kind of permit at some time before; the table does not say whether they were in Canada when made permanent. A person can appear in more than one of IRCC's prior-status tables. Values are rounded to the nearest 5 (0 to 5 shown as '--'); the table is dated 'Source: IRCC, July 31, 2026' and its data are preliminary.

New permanent residents (intended destination Alberta) who had held an International Mobility Program work permit, July 2025 to June 2026

Preliminary

11,790

Period
July 2025 to June 2026
Unit
Persons
Stored value
11790

Dataset 'Transition from Temporary Resident to Permanent Resident Status – Monthly IRCC Updates' (https://open.canada.ca/data/en/dataset/1b026aab-edb3-4d5d-8231-270a09ed4e82), last modified 2026-09-15. IRCC counts people granted permanent residence who had held this kind of permit at some time before; the table does not say whether they were in Canada when made permanent. A person can appear in more than one of IRCC's prior-status tables. Values are rounded to the nearest 5 (0 to 5 shown as '--'); the table is dated 'Source: IRCC, July 31, 2026' and its data are preliminary.

New permanent residents (intended destination Alberta) who had held a Temporary Foreign Worker Program work permit, July 2025 to June 2026

Preliminary

1,320

Period
July 2025 to June 2026
Unit
Persons
Stored value
1320

Dataset 'Transition from Temporary Resident to Permanent Resident Status – Monthly IRCC Updates' (https://open.canada.ca/data/en/dataset/1b026aab-edb3-4d5d-8231-270a09ed4e82), last modified 2026-09-15. IRCC counts people granted permanent residence who had held this kind of permit at some time before; the table does not say whether they were in Canada when made permanent. A person can appear in more than one of IRCC's prior-status tables. Values are rounded to the nearest 5 (0 to 5 shown as '--'); the table is dated 'Source: IRCC, July 31, 2026' and its data are preliminary.

New permanent residents (intended destination Alberta) who had held a study permit, July 2025 to June 2026

Preliminary

2,440

Period
July 2025 to June 2026
Unit
Persons
Stored value
2440

Dataset 'Transition from Temporary Resident to Permanent Resident Status – Monthly IRCC Updates' (https://open.canada.ca/data/en/dataset/1b026aab-edb3-4d5d-8231-270a09ed4e82), last modified 2026-09-15. IRCC counts people granted permanent residence who had held this kind of permit at some time before; the table does not say whether they were in Canada when made permanent. A person can appear in more than one of IRCC's prior-status tables. Values are rounded to the nearest 5 (0 to 5 shown as '--'); the table is dated 'Source: IRCC, July 31, 2026' and its data are preliminary.

New permanent residents admitted (Canada), July 2025 to June 2026

Preliminary

368,225

Period
July 2025 to June 2026
Unit
Persons
Stored value
368225

Dataset 'Permanent Residents – Monthly IRCC Updates' (https://open.canada.ca/data/en/dataset/f7e5498e-0ad8-4417-85c9-9b8aff9b9eda), last modified 2026-09-15. Values rounded to the nearest 5; the table is dated 'Source: IRCC, July 31, 2026' and its data are preliminary.

New permanent residents admitted (intended destination Alberta), July 2025 to June 2026

Preliminary

50,160

Period
July 2025 to June 2026
Unit
Persons
Stored value
50160

Dataset 'Permanent Residents – Monthly IRCC Updates' (https://open.canada.ca/data/en/dataset/f7e5498e-0ad8-4417-85c9-9b8aff9b9eda), last modified 2026-09-15. Values rounded to the nearest 5; the table is dated 'Source: IRCC, July 31, 2026' and its data are preliminary.

New permanent residents in IRCC's category 'Protected Person in Canada', July 2025 to June 2026 (approximate)

Preliminary

31,275

Period
July 2025 to June 2026
Unit
Persons
Stored value
31275

The table has no national row for the category, so the value is the sum of the province and territory rows, each rounded to the nearest 5, with '--' (0 to 5) counted as 0: approximate to within a few hundred. By province, July 2025 to June 2026: Ontario 20,335; Quebec 5,150; Alberta 2,625; British Columbia 2,590; the rest 575. Statistics Canada counts protected persons as non-permanent residents until they become permanent. Dataset 'Permanent Residents – Monthly IRCC Updates' (https://open.canada.ca/data/en/dataset/f7e5498e-0ad8-4417-85c9-9b8aff9b9eda), last modified 2026-09-15.

Fall in new arrivals of international students and temporary workers, 2025 against 2024

Actual

361,935

Period
2025
Unit
Persons
Stored value
361935

IRCC gives the fall and its share of 2024's arrivals (“Fall in new arrivals of international students and temporary workers, 2025 against 2024, as a share of 2024's arrivals”), not the number of 2025 arrivals. The site derives the number they imply, and shows it as the result of the 2025 target. The same note says arrivals of students fell by 177,595 and of workers by 184,340.

Fall in new arrivals of international students and temporary workers, 2025 against 2024, as a share of 2024's arrivals

Actual

53.0%

Period
2025
Unit
Ratio, shown as a percentage
Stored value
0.53

IRCC rounds the share to a whole percent. With the count beside it, it gives the number of 2025 arrivals, which the site derives.

IRCC: what its targets for temporary resident arrivals leave out

Actual
“Targets are not set for visitors arriving with temporary resident visas or electronic travel authorizations (eTAs), permit extensions, in-Canada study/work permit applications and asylum claimants”
Period
2024-10-24
Unit
Verbatim text

The footnote continues: 'Asylum claimant volumes and in-Canada study/work permit applications are included in the overall methodology and calculations to reach the 5% target.'

Federal target for permanent resident admissions, 2025

Forecast

395,000

Period
2025
Unit
Persons
Stored value
395000

The result is “New permanent residents admitted to Canada, 2025 (approximate)”: IRCC gives 2025 admissions as approximately 393,500, which it says meets this target.

Federal target for permanent resident admissions, 2026 (2026-2028 plan)

Forecast

380,000

Period
2026
Unit
Persons
Stored value
380000

380,000 a year for 2026, 2027 and 2028.

Share of new permanent residents admitted as economic immigrants under the 2026-2028 plan

Forecast

64.0%

Period
2026 to 2028
Unit
Ratio, shown as a percentage
Stored value
0.64

Up from 59%, according to the same paragraph.

Ottawa's 2025 immigration report on the pace of arrivals

Actual
“the pace of arrivals began to exceed Canada’s capacity to absorb and support newcomers in the way we are used to doing”
Period
2025-11-04
Unit
Verbatim text

Ottawa's 2025 immigration report on the temporary resident surge

Actual
“put pressure on housing supply, the healthcare system, and schools”
Period
2025-11-04
Unit
Verbatim text

The subject is the rise in temporary residents from 3.3% of the population (2018) to 7.5% (2024), figures from an older Statistics Canada vintage; the current estimate of the peak is 7.2% (October 1, 2024).

Ottawa's 2025 immigration report on the system

Actual
“this system is no longer sustainable”
Period
2025-11-04
Unit
Verbatim text

Canada’s language requirement for citizenship (IRCC)

Actual
“If you’re 18 to 54 years of age, you must submit proof that you can speak and listen at the Canadian Language Benchmarks (CLB) Level 4 or higher in English or French.”
Period
In force, read 2026-10-14
Unit
Verbatim text

Speaking and listening only; no reading or writing level is asked on this page.

Canada’s citizenship knowledge test (IRCC)

Actual
“Most people need to take a test as part of the citizenship application.”
Period
In force, read 2026-10-14
Unit
Verbatim text

United Kingdom: English requirement for settlement (indefinite leave to remain) and citizenship

Actual
“an English qualification at B1, B2, C1 or C2 level”
Period
In force, read 2026-10-14
Unit
Verbatim text

The page applies it to applicants 18 or over applying for citizenship or to settle. A degree taught or researched in English is the other route.

United Kingdom: the Life in the UK Test

Actual
“You have 45 minutes to answer 24 questions based on the Life in the UK handbook.”
Period
In force, read 2026-10-14
Unit
Verbatim text

Same page: 'You must score 75% or more to pass the test.' Needed for citizenship or settlement.

Netherlands: language requirement for naturalisation (IND)

Actual
“you must pass the civic integration exam at language level A2”
Period
In force, read 2026-10-14
Unit
Verbatim text

The exam covers reading, listening, writing and speaking, and Knowledge of Dutch Society (KNS), per the section on what the exam involves.

Netherlands: what the naturalisation language requirement means (IND)

Actual
“This means that you speak, read, write and understand Dutch fairly well.”
Period
In force, read 2026-10-14
Unit
Verbatim text

Denmark: language requirement for permanent residence

Actual
“You must pass the Danish language test 2 (Prøve i Dansk 2), or a Danish exam of an equivalent or higher level.”
Period
In force, read 2026-10-14
Unit
Verbatim text

Denmark: work requirement for permanent residence

Actual
“regular, full-time employment or been self-employed in Denmark for at least 3 years and 6 months during the 4 years prior to the date the Immigration Service reaches a decision”
Period
In force, read 2026-10-14
Unit
Verbatim text

Also a basic requirement: 8 years of legal residence (4 if all four supplementary requirements are met).

  • New to Denmark (Danish Immigration Service and SIRI), Permanent residence (opens in a new tab)Basic requirement 'You must have been employed for at least 3 years and 6 months'Accessed October 14, 2026.

IRCC’s target: share of settlement clients who improved their official language skills, 2024-25

Forecast

50.0%

Period
2024-25
Unit
Ratio, shown as a percentage
Stored value
0.5

Stated as at least 50%, to be met at the end of each fiscal year.

Share of settlement clients who improved their official language skills, 2022-23 (IRCC’s result)

Actual

34.0%

Period
2022-23
Unit
Ratio, shown as a percentage
Stored value
0.34

Share of settlement clients who improved their official language skills, 2023-24 (IRCC’s result)

Actual

34.7%

Period
2023-24
Unit
Ratio, shown as a percentage
Stored value
0.347

Share of settlement clients who improved their official language skills, 2024-25 (IRCC’s result)

Actual

37.6%

Period
2024-25
Unit
Ratio, shown as a percentage
Stored value
0.376

IRCC Settlement Program envelope for direct settlement services outside Quebec, 2022-23

Actual

$973,500,000 ($973.5M)

Period
2022-23
Unit
Canadian dollars
Stored value
973500000

Stated as approximately $973.5M in 2022-23 and $1.08B in 2023-24 ($2.05B over the two years). Outside Quebec only. The report says funding rose 'in line with increases to planned permanent resident admissions in IRCC’s Levels Plan'. The same report gives the program’s general eligibility: permanent residents, protected persons, resettled refugees and those approved to become permanent residents.

IRCC Settlement Program envelope for direct settlement services outside Quebec, 2023-24

Actual

$1,080,000,000 ($1.1B)

Period
2023-24
Unit
Canadian dollars
Stored value
1080000000

Stated as approximately $973.5M in 2022-23 and $1.08B in 2023-24 ($2.05B over the two years). Outside Quebec only. The report says funding rose 'in line with increases to planned permanent resident admissions in IRCC’s Levels Plan'. The same report gives the program’s general eligibility: permanent residents, protected persons, resettled refugees and those approved to become permanent residents.

Permanent residents admitted to Canada, 2022

Actual

437,539

Period
2022
Unit
Persons
Stored value
437539

Against a target of 431,645, per the same paragraph.

Permanent residents admitted to Canada, 2023

Actual

471,808

Period
2023
Unit
Persons
Stored value
471808

People who began working in Canada on new work permits, 2023

Actual

946,259

Period
2023
Unit
Persons
Stored value
946259

905,440 in 2024, down from 946,259 in 2023, per the same sentence. Both programs (TFWP and IMP).

Immigration minister on the aim of the 2026-2028 plan (2025 annual report)

Actual
“attract top global talent and grow our economy, while staying within our capacity to welcome and integrate those who choose Canada as their home”
Period
2025-11-04
Unit
Verbatim text

Share of comments on the proposed self-administered citizenship oath that were not supportive (IRCC’s count, 2023)

Actual

61.0%

Period
2023
Unit
Ratio, shown as a percentage
Stored value
0.61

Approximately 61% (268) of 440 submissions not supportive, 36% (159) supportive, 3% (13) neutral. Proposal pre-published in the Canada Gazette, Part I, on February 25, 2023.

Citizenship Regulations: how the oath is taken, as the regulations stand

Actual
“shall take the oath of citizenship by swearing or solemnly affirming it before a citizenship judge”
Period
Current to 2026-09-21
Unit
Verbatim text

Section 19(2): the oath is taken at a citizenship ceremony unless the Minister directs otherwise. Section 21 has the certificate countersigned by the officer who administered the oath. No self-administration provision appears in sections 19 or 21 of this consolidation.

Federal Skilled Worker Program: language minimum for permanent residence (IRCC)

Actual
“meet the minimum score in all 4 abilities”
Period
In force, read 2026-10-14
Unit
Verbatim text

The four abilities are writing, reading, listening and speaking.

Federal Skilled Worker Program: the first official language row marked not eligible to apply (IRCC)

Actual
“Below CLB level 7”
Period
In force, read 2026-10-14
Unit
Verbatim text

The row reads 'Not eligible to apply' for speaking, listening, reading and writing. The Federal Skilled Worker Program is one route to permanent residence; others were not read.

United Kingdom: the English test skills for citizenship and settlement

Actual
“you will need to take a test that assesses your speaking and listening abilities”
Period
In force, read 2026-10-14
Unit
Verbatim text

The routes listed under this sentence include citizenship and settlement (indefinite leave to remain). Other routes, such as Skilled Worker and Student, need a test of all four skills.

Highest Canadian Language Benchmark placed at CEFR A2 in the alignment the CCLB published

Actual

4

Period
2018
Unit
Index
Stored value
4

Table 7 places CLB 3 and 4 at A2, CLB 5 to 7 at B1, CLB 8 and 9 at B2, CLB 10 and 11 at C1 and CLB 12 at C2. The report recommends reporting at the six CEFR levels as in Table 7.

How IRCC measures language improvement among settlement language clients

Actual
“improved their official language skills by at least one level in at least one of the four language skills in the year they participated in training”
Period
2025
Unit
Verbatim text

The same sentence: 35% of language clients in 2023/24 and 34% in 2022/23.

IRCC’s target: share of settlement clients who acquired knowledge and skills to integrate into the Canadian labour market, 2024-25

Forecast

50.0%

Period
2024-25
Unit
Ratio, shown as a percentage
Stored value
0.5

Stated as at least 50%, to be met at the end of each fiscal year.

Share of settlement clients who acquired knowledge and skills to integrate into the Canadian labour market, 2022-23 (IRCC’s result)

Actual

66.0%

Period
2022-23
Unit
Ratio, shown as a percentage
Stored value
0.66

Share of settlement clients who acquired knowledge and skills to integrate into the Canadian labour market, 2023-24 (IRCC’s result)

Actual

53.8%

Period
2023-24
Unit
Ratio, shown as a percentage
Stored value
0.538

Share of settlement clients who acquired knowledge and skills to integrate into the Canadian labour market, 2024-25 (IRCC’s result)

Actual

54.0%

Period
2024-25
Unit
Ratio, shown as a percentage
Stored value
0.54

Who the Settlement Program serves, in IRCC’s words

Actual
“to be eligible for IRCC-funded Settlement Program services, newcomers must be one of the following: a permanent resident of Canada; a protected person with accepted asylum claim; refugee selected for resettlement; or a newcomer approved to become a permanent resident.”
Period
2025
Unit
Verbatim text

The report adds: 'Newcomers arriving under special initiatives, like CUAET, may have different terms of eligibility.'

Why the settlement envelope rose, in IRCC’s words

Actual
“in line with increases to planned permanent resident admissions in IRCC’s Levels Plan, and funding associated with extending eligibility to additional populations such as Ukrainians”
Period
2025
Unit
Verbatim text

Ukrainians, including eligible temporary residents, who accessed the Settlement Program, 2022-23 and 2023-24 (more than)

Actual

147,000

Period
2022-23 and 2023-24
Unit
Persons
Stored value
147000

Stated as 'over 147,000 Ukrainian (including eligible temporary residents)'. Settlement access for Ukrainian temporary residents under CUAET ran until March 31, 2025.

IRCC on the proposed self-administered oath: taken without an official present

Actual
“without the presence of an authorized official”
Period
2023-10-24
Unit
Verbatim text

The words that end the sentence quoted in “IRCC on the proposed self-administered oath: an option beside ceremonies”, read at the page on 2026-10-14.

IRCC on the proposed self-administered oath: an option beside ceremonies

Actual
“the option to either swear/affirm the Oath of Citizenship at a citizenship ceremony, (in-person or virtual as scheduled by the Department), or to self-administer the Oath of Citizenship through a secure online solution”
Period
2023-10-24
Unit
Verbatim text

IRCC on the time the self-administered oath would save

Actual
“could save up to 3 months of processing times for their application”
Period
2023-10-24
Unit
Verbatim text

The same sentence: they 'would still have the option to attend a public in-person citizenship ceremony at a later date'.

IRCC on the access case for the self-administered oath

Actual
“promotes flexibility and inclusivity for those who may face socio-economic or geographic barriers”
Period
2023-10-24
Unit
Verbatim text

The paragraph cites time off work or school, childcare and travel from rural or remote areas.

Written submissions on the proposed self-administered citizenship oath, 2023 consultation

Actual

440

Period
2023
Unit
Count
Stored value
440

Written feedback received during the 30-day comment period after pre-publication in the Canada Gazette, Part I, on February 25, 2023.

Citizenship Regulations, section 19(2): the Minister’s power to direct otherwise

Actual
“Unless the Minister otherwise directs, the oath of citizenship shall be taken at a citizenship ceremony.”
Period
Current to 2026-09-21
Unit
Verbatim text

Planned share of new permanent residents in the economic programs, 2025

Forecast

59.0%

Period
2025
Unit
Ratio, shown as a percentage
Stored value
0.59

Stated as 'from 59 per cent to 64 per cent'. The baseline the 2026-2028 plan's share is measured from: the planned 2025 share. The 2025 result is admissions by class for 2025, which IRCC gives in its 2026 annual report (due by November 2026) or its open data.

Temporary residents to be granted permanent residence under two one-time initiatives, 2026-2027

Forecast

148,000

Period
2026 to 2027
Unit
Persons
Stored value
148000

Incremental to the 380,000 annual permanent resident targets, according to supplementary information cited by the PBO. A February 2026 projection, built on Statistics Canada's estimates before the September 23, 2026 revision, which raised the count of temporary residents on April 1, 2026 by 240,087. The PBO noted that meeting the target on time depends on the pace of outflows and on asylum claims.

Temporary residents as a share of the population at the end of 2027 without the one-time initiatives (PBO)

Forecast

5.3%

Period
End of 2027
Unit
Ratio, shown as a percentage
Stored value
0.053

With the initiatives the PBO projects just under 5%, meeting the target. A February 2026 projection, built on Statistics Canada's estimates before the September 23, 2026 revision, which raised the count of temporary residents on April 1, 2026 by 240,087. The PBO noted that meeting the target on time depends on the pace of outflows and on asylum claims.

Effect of the 2025-2027 levels plan on real GDP by 2027 (PBO)

Forecast

-1.7%

Period
2027
Unit
Ratio, shown as a percentage
Stored value
-0.017

Compared with a status quo scenario of about 500,000 permanent residents a year and a stable temporary resident population. The PBO also estimates nominal GDP about $37 billion a year lower on average over three years.

Effect of the 2025-2027 levels plan on real GDP per capita by 2027 (PBO)

Forecast

1.4%

Period
2027
Unit
Ratio, shown as a percentage
Stored value
0.014

Compared with a status quo scenario of about 500,000 permanent residents a year and a stable temporary resident population. The PBO also estimates nominal GDP about $37 billion a year lower on average over three years.

Fewer residents by the end of 2027 under the 2025-2027 levels plan (PBO)

Forecast

1,400,000

Period
2027
Unit
Persons
Stored value
1400000

Compared with a status quo scenario of about 500,000 permanent residents a year and a stable temporary resident population. The PBO also estimates nominal GDP about $37 billion a year lower on average over three years.

Interim Federal Health Program, total cost including administration

SeriesActual

Latest: $896,000,000 ($896.0M) (2024-25)

Period
2020-21 to 2024-25
Unit
Canadian dollars
Interim Federal Health Program, total cost including administration, by period
PeriodValue
2020-21$211.0M
2024-25$896.0M

Federal health coverage for asylum claimants and some refugees until they qualify for provincial coverage or leave the country. The report gives totals for these two years only; its projection to 2029-30 was revised in the PBO's May 2026 report (Appendix B).

Interim Federal Health Program, total cost, PBO projection with no co-payments (May 2026)

SeriesForecast

Latest: $1,383,000,000 ($1.4B) (2029-30)

Period
2025-26 to 2029-30
Unit
Canadian dollars
Interim Federal Health Program, total cost, PBO projection with no co-payments (May 2026), by period
PeriodValue
2025-26$975.0M
2026-27$1.1B
2027-28$1.2B
2028-29$1.3B
2029-30$1.4B

Revised down from the February 2026 projection (989, 1,104, 1,232, 1,376 and 1,522 million) with more months of data. Co-payments that started May 1, 2026 reduce these amounts (Table 6).

Change in federal IFHP cost from co-payments, PBO projection (May 2026)

SeriesForecast

Latest: -$217,100,000 (-$217.1M) (2029-30)

Period
2026-27 to 2029-30
Unit
Canadian dollars
Change in federal IFHP cost from co-payments, PBO projection (May 2026), by period
PeriodValue
2026-27-$162.1M
2027-28-$189.1M
2028-29-$203.5M
2029-30-$217.1M

Relative to the no-co-payment baseline (Appendix B, Table B-1). Since May 1, 2026 beneficiaries pay $4 per prescription and 30% of other supplemental health products and services; the PBO estimates this adds $157.1 million a year to their out-of-pocket costs by 2029-30.

IFHP health spending on basic benefits

SeriesActual

Latest: $329,500,000 ($329.5M) (2024-25)

Period
2019-20 to 2024-25
Unit
Canadian dollars
IFHP health spending on basic benefits, by period
PeriodValue
2019-20$88.5M
2020-21$92.9M
2021-22$128.3M
2022-23$149.4M
2023-24$218.1M
2024-25$329.5M

Health spending only; the program total also includes administration.

IFHP health spending on supplementary benefits

SeriesActual

Latest: $457,742,000 ($457.7M) (2024-25)

Period
2019-20 to 2024-25
Unit
Canadian dollars
IFHP health spending on supplementary benefits, by period
PeriodValue
2019-20$95.4M
2020-21$100.8M
2021-22$116.1M
2022-23$168.4M
2023-24$285.5M
2024-25$457.7M

Includes prescriptions and urgent dental care.

IFHP health spending on immigration medical exams in Canada

SeriesActual

Latest: $34,540,000 ($34.5M) (2024-25)

Period
2019-20 to 2024-25
Unit
Canadian dollars
IFHP health spending on immigration medical exams in Canada, by period
PeriodValue
2019-20$14.1M
2020-21$3.9M
2021-22$11.0M
2022-23$24.8M
2023-24$35.1M
2024-25$34.5M

IFHP health spending on medical services before overseas refugees travel

SeriesActual

Latest: $26,515,000 ($26.5M) (2024-25)

Period
2019-20 to 2024-25
Unit
Canadian dollars
IFHP health spending on medical services before overseas refugees travel, by period
PeriodValue
2019-20$15.7M
2020-21$4.4M
2021-22$22.0M
2022-23$29.7M
2023-24$29.0M
2024-25$26.5M

PBO on the growth of urgent dental spending in the IFHP (May 2026)

Actual
“urgent dental expenditures increasing from $30 million to $257 million, over five years”
Period
2026-05-26
Unit
Verbatim text

IFHP dental coverage is for urgent care (pain, infection or trauma).

PBO on what drove IFHP costs up

Actual
“the longer duration of eligibility caused by extended determination times”
Period
2026-02-12
Unit
Verbatim text

The sentence: the rising volume of asylum claims, along with this longer duration, has been an important growth driver.

Refugee protection claims pending at the Immigration and Refugee Board, June 30, 2026

Actual

276,099

Period
2026-06-30
Unit
Count
Stored value
276099

The IRB's own count. Its count for December 31, 2025 was 299,614 (the PBO reported 304,192 pending in December 2025).

Share of 2024-25 IFHP spending on care delivered in Alberta

Actual

7.0%

Period
2024-25
Unit
Ratio, shown as a percentage
Stored value
0.07

Share of in-Canada health spending by location of service (the provinces in the table add up to $821.8 million, which excludes administration and medical services before overseas refugees travel). Ontario 59.8%, Quebec 29.0%, Alberta 7.0%, British Columbia 2.8%.

IFHP spending on care delivered in Alberta, 2024-25

Actual

$57,600,000 ($57.6M)

Period
2024-25
Unit
Canadian dollars
Stored value
57600000

By location of service. The provinces in the table add up to $821.8 million of in-Canada health spending, which excludes administration; the program cost $896 million in total that year.

Average federal cost per asylum claimant arriving with an eTA, over the whole claim (2024 dollars)

Estimate

$16,500

Period
2024
Unit
Canadian dollars
Stored value
16500

Federal variable costs only, including federal support programs (interim housing, IFHP, legal aid); fixed costs and provincial and municipal costs are excluded. The PBO computed take-up rates for claimants who arrived visa-free with an electronic travel authorization (eTA); step costs are the same for all claimants.

Federal cost per asylum claimant, low-cost scenario (positive decision at the first hearing), 2024 dollars

Estimate

$9,055

Period
2024
Unit
Canadian dollars
Stored value
9055

Federal variable costs only, including federal support programs (interim housing, IFHP, legal aid); fixed costs and provincial and municipal costs are excluded. The PBO computed take-up rates for claimants who arrived visa-free with an electronic travel authorization (eTA); step costs are the same for all claimants.

Federal cost per asylum claimant, high-cost scenario (every appeal, then removal), 2024 dollars

Estimate

$40,814

Period
2024
Unit
Canadian dollars
Stored value
40814

Federal variable costs only, including federal support programs (interim housing, IFHP, legal aid); fixed costs and provincial and municipal costs are excluded. The PBO computed take-up rates for claimants who arrived visa-free with an electronic travel authorization (eTA); step costs are the same for all claimants.

Interim Housing Assistance Program payments to provinces and municipalities since 2017 (Budget 2024)

Actual

$960,000,000 ($960.0M)

Period
2017 to April 2024
Unit
Canadian dollars
Stored value
960000000

Budget 2024 says almost $960 million, paid on a cost-sharing basis.

Budget 2024 extension of the Interim Housing Assistance Program, by fiscal year

SeriesForecast

Latest: $267,000,000 ($267.0M) (2026-27)

Period
2024-25 to 2026-27
Unit
Canadian dollars
Budget 2024 extension of the Interim Housing Assistance Program, by fiscal year, by period
PeriodValue
2024-25$409.0M
2025-26$400.0M
2026-27$267.0M

$1.1 billion over three years ($1,076 million in the table). The 2026-27 funding is conditional on provincial and municipal investments in permanent transitional housing.

Budget 2024 on sheltering asylum claimants

Actual
“falls under provincial and municipal jurisdiction”
Period
2024-04-16
Unit
Verbatim text

Full clause: providing asylum claimants with a safe place to live falls under provincial and municipal jurisdiction.

Budget 2024 condition on 2026-27 interim housing funding

Actual
“conditional on provincial and municipal investments in permanent transitional housing solutions for asylum claimants”
Period
2024-04-16
Unit
Verbatim text

PBO on provincial and municipal asylum costs (2018)

Actual
“increase with the time it takes the federal government to make a final determination”
Period
2018-11-29
Unit
Verbatim text

Subject: provincial and municipal costs. The same section notes Ontario had identified $200 million in costs for temporary housing, social assistance and education.

Alberta government's estimate of the yearly cost of provincial services for temporary residents (more than)

Estimate

$1,000,000,000 ($1.0B)

Period
Per year (published 2026)
Unit
Canadian dollars
Stored value
1000000000

A lower bound: "more than $1 billion". The FAQ components (K-12 $600 million, health about $400 million, social programs more than $100 million) sum to $1.1 billion or more. The referendum website (launched April 23, 2026) gives no date, method or per-person figure. It covers temporary residents only, for one year.

Alberta government's estimate of K-12 operating costs for children of temporary residents

Estimate

$600,000,000 ($600.0M)

Period
Per year (published 2026)
Unit
Canadian dollars
Stored value
600000000

Alberta Education estimate; capital costs not included. The home page says $600M+ for 45,000 children. The referendum website (launched April 23, 2026) gives no date, method or per-person figure. It covers temporary residents only, for one year.

Children of temporary residents in Alberta K-12 schools (Alberta government)

Estimate

45,544

Period
Published 2026
Unit
Persons
Stored value
45544

"Approximately 45,544". The referendum website (launched April 23, 2026) gives no date, method or per-person figure. It covers temporary residents only, for one year.

Alberta government's estimate of health costs for temporary residents

Estimate

$400,000,000 ($400.0M)

Period
Per year (published 2026)
Unit
Canadian dollars
Stored value
400000000

"About $400 million"; the FAQ says health costs are less precise to track. The referendum website (launched April 23, 2026) gives no date, method or per-person figure. It covers temporary residents only, for one year.

Alberta government's estimate of social program costs for temporary residents (more than)

Estimate

$100,000,000 ($100.0M)

Period
Per year (published 2026)
Unit
Canadian dollars
Stored value
100000000

A lower bound: "more than $100 million" for the child care subsidy, Alberta Child and Family Benefit and student aid. The referendum website (launched April 23, 2026) gives no date, method or per-person figure. It covers temporary residents only, for one year.

Alberta government's estimate of total taxes paid yearly by temporary residents

Estimate

$150,000,000 ($150.0M)

Period
Per year (published 2026)
Unit
Canadian dollars
Stored value
150000000

The site does not say which taxes are included or how the figure was estimated. The referendum website (launched April 23, 2026) gives no date, method or per-person figure. It covers temporary residents only, for one year.

Alberta government's claim: net yearly cost of temporary residents after taxes (more than)

Estimate

$1,000,000,000 ($1.0B)

Period
Per year (published 2026)
Unit
Canadian dollars
Stored value
1000000000

The FAQ reaches "over $1 billion" net only after adding capital costs and jobs it says could have been filled by Albertans, neither of which it quantifies. The referendum website (launched April 23, 2026) gives no date, method or per-person figure. It covers temporary residents only, for one year.

Alberta government's referendum website on the cost of temporary residents

Actual
“estimated to cost Alberta taxpayers more than $1 billion per year”
Period
2026
Unit
Verbatim text

Alberta government's referendum FAQ on jobs held by temporary residents

Actual
“could have been filled by Albertans”
Period
2026
Unit
Verbatim text

The FAQ adds this and unquantified capital costs to reach a net annual cost of over $1 billion.

Premier Danielle Smith's claim: dollars of services covered by taxpayers per $1 of taxes a guest worker generates

Estimate

$10.00

Period
2026-08-31
Unit
Canadian dollars
Stored value
10

News report. The Premier's post, as reported: 'For every $1 of taxes a guest worker generates, taxpayers are covering $10 in services.' Her office told The Tyee the $10 adds capital costs, such as school spaces for about 45,544 children of temporary residents, to the province's estimate of more than $1 billion; it gave no figure for those costs.

Average cost per student the Premier's office used to cost K-12 schooling for temporary residents' children

Estimate

$12,000

Period
2025
Unit
Canadian dollars
Stored value
12000

News report of the office's method. The referendum website does not publish a method.

Temporary-resident students enrolled in Alberta schools in 2025, according to the Premier's office

Estimate

47,389

Period
2025
Unit
Persons
Stored value
47389

The referendum website gives 45,544 children of temporary residents in K-12 schools.

Share of tracked provincial health costs for temporary workers and international students, according to the Premier's office

Estimate

1.3%

Period
2024
Unit
Ratio, shown as a percentage
Stored value
0.0127

News report of the office's method: 1.27% of the Canadian Institute for Health Information's $31.8 billion estimate of Alberta's 2024 health costs, 'just over $400 million'.

Alberta health costs in 2024 as cited by the Premier's office (CIHI estimate)

Estimate

$31,800,000,000 ($31.8B)

Period
2024
Unit
Canadian dollars
Stored value
31800000000

Canada Health Transfer and Canada Social Transfer per resident of Alberta, 2025-26

Actual

$1,731

Period
2025-26
Unit
Canadian dollars
Stored value
1731

The same per-person amount goes to every province that receives no Equalization (Saskatchewan, Alberta, British Columbia). Statistics Canada population estimates, which set each province's share, include temporary residents.

  • Department of Finance Canada, Major federal transfers (opens in a new tab)Table 'Federal Support to Alberta (millions of dollars)', row 'Per Capita Allocation (dollars)', column 2025-26Published December 11, 2025. Accessed September 28, 2026.

Canada Health Transfer and Canada Social Transfer per resident of Alberta, 2026-27

Actual

$1,792

Period
2026-27
Unit
Canadian dollars
Stored value
1792

The same per-person amount goes to every province that receives no Equalization (Saskatchewan, Alberta, British Columbia). Statistics Canada population estimates, which set each province's share, include temporary residents.

  • Department of Finance Canada, Major federal transfers (opens in a new tab)Table 'Federal Support to Alberta (millions of dollars)', row 'Per Capita Allocation (dollars)', column 2026-27Published December 11, 2025. Accessed September 28, 2026.

Alberta government's claim: Alberta's share of the 673,000 temporary residents targeted federally in 2025

Estimate

25.0%

Period
2025
Unit
Ratio, shown as a percentage
Stored value
0.25

No source is given. Statistics Canada counts 54,102 of 494,481 temporary-resident inflows (10.9%) in Alberta in 2025.

Alberta government's claim: temporary residents and asylum seekers permitted to enter Alberta, 2023-2025

Estimate

400,000

Period
2023 to 2025
Unit
Persons
Stored value
400000

No source is given. Statistics Canada counts 285,088 temporary-resident inflows to Alberta over the three years; IRCC permit counts, which include renewals, may explain part of the gap.

Alberta government's claim: Alberta's population growth over the last five years

Estimate

600,000

Period
Five years to 2026
Unit
Persons
Stored value
600000

Supported: Statistics Canada shows +669,519 from July 1, 2021 to July 1, 2026.

Net fiscal transfer per recent immigrant relative to the average Canadian, 2005-06 (Fraser Institute study)

Estimate

$6,051

Period
2005-06
Unit
Canadian dollars
Stored value
6051

Think-tank analysis. A relative measure: the gap versus the average Canadian. All of it came from lower taxes paid ($6,161 less); benefits received were $110 lower. Covers 1987-2004 arrivals. Disputed: Javdani and Pendakur's corrected estimate is $450.

Fiscal transfer per immigrant after corrections (Javdani and Pendakur)

Estimate

$450

Period
2005-06
Unit
Canadian dollars
Stored value
450

Academic analysis (Internet Archive copy of the working paper). The preferred estimate: all immigrants who arrived 1970-2004, compared with the Canadian-born, with 10% of tax revenue treated as paying for public goods such as national defence. The revised journal version, Journal of International Migration and Integration 15(4), 2014 (doi:10.1007/s12134-013-0305-5), rounds it to about $500 per immigrant a year in its abstract.

IRCC economists on lifetime net direct fiscal contributions by immigration category (2020)

Actual
“refugees and family class immigrants have negative or zero average present values of life‐cycle NDFCs”
Period
2020
Unit
Verbatim text

NDFC = net direct fiscal contribution (taxes and social security contributions minus transfers; in-kind health and education are excluded). The sentence ends: much below that of economic immigrants. Applies to the 2016 landing cohort, by age at landing.

Real GDP, Canada, 2014 (chained 2017 dollars)

DerivedActual

$2,042,975,750,000 ($2.0T)

Period
2014
Unit
Canadian dollars
Stored value
2042975750000

Real GDP per person, Canada, 2014 (chained 2017 dollars)

DerivedActual

$57,656

Period
2014
Unit
Canadian dollars
Stored value
57655.6963572851

Formula: real GDP in 2014 ÷ population of Canada on July 1, 2014

Inputs

Real GDP, Canada, 2015 (chained 2017 dollars)

DerivedActual

$2,056,254,500,000 ($2.1T)

Period
2015
Unit
Canadian dollars
Stored value
2056254500000

Real GDP per person, Canada, 2015 (chained 2017 dollars)

DerivedActual

$57,591

Period
2015
Unit
Canadian dollars
Stored value
57590.9091341937

Formula: real GDP in 2015 ÷ population of Canada on July 1, 2015

Inputs

Real GDP, Canada, 2016 (chained 2017 dollars)

DerivedActual

$2,077,609,750,000 ($2.1T)

Period
2016
Unit
Canadian dollars
Stored value
2077609750000

Real GDP per person, Canada, 2016 (chained 2017 dollars)

DerivedActual

$57,534

Period
2016
Unit
Canadian dollars
Stored value
57534.2993618835

Formula: real GDP in 2016 ÷ population of Canada on July 1, 2016

Inputs

Real GDP, Canada, 2017 (chained 2017 dollars)

DerivedActual

$2,140,641,000,000 ($2.1T)

Period
2017
Unit
Canadian dollars
Stored value
2140641000000

Real GDP per person, Canada, 2017 (chained 2017 dollars)

DerivedActual

$58,575

Period
2017
Unit
Canadian dollars
Stored value
58575.3620699917

Formula: real GDP in 2017 ÷ population of Canada on July 1, 2017

Inputs

Real GDP, Canada, 2018 (chained 2017 dollars)

DerivedActual

$2,199,358,000,000 ($2.2T)

Period
2018
Unit
Canadian dollars
Stored value
2199358000000

Real GDP per person, Canada, 2018 (chained 2017 dollars)

DerivedActual

$59,326

Period
2018
Unit
Canadian dollars
Stored value
59325.6694563265

Formula: real GDP in 2018 ÷ population of Canada on July 1, 2018

Inputs

Real GDP, Canada, 2019 (chained 2017 dollars)

DerivedActual

$2,241,331,250,000 ($2.2T)

Period
2019
Unit
Canadian dollars
Stored value
2241331250000

Real GDP per person, Canada, 2019 (chained 2017 dollars)

DerivedActual

$59,581

Period
2019
Unit
Canadian dollars
Stored value
59580.566686679

Formula: real GDP in 2019 ÷ population of Canada on July 1, 2019

Inputs

Real GDP, Canada, 2020 (chained 2017 dollars)

DerivedActual

$2,128,407,750,000 ($2.1T)

Period
2020
Unit
Canadian dollars
Stored value
2128407750000

Real GDP per person, Canada, 2020 (chained 2017 dollars)

DerivedActual

$55,969

Period
2020
Unit
Canadian dollars
Stored value
55968.5505960008

Formula: real GDP in 2020 ÷ population of Canada on July 1, 2020

Inputs

Real GDP, Canada, 2021 (chained 2017 dollars)

DerivedActual

$2,255,059,250,000 ($2.3T)

Period
2021
Unit
Canadian dollars
Stored value
2255059250000

Real GDP per person, Canada, 2021 (chained 2017 dollars)

DerivedActual

$58,971

Period
2021
Unit
Canadian dollars
Stored value
58971.4244276601

Formula: real GDP in 2021 ÷ population of Canada on July 1, 2021

Inputs

Real GDP, Canada, 2022 (chained 2017 dollars)

DerivedActual

$2,360,943,750,000 ($2.4T)

Period
2022
Unit
Canadian dollars
Stored value
2360943750000

Real GDP per person, Canada, 2022 (chained 2017 dollars)

DerivedActual

$60,622

Period
2022
Unit
Canadian dollars
Stored value
60621.534976917

Formula: real GDP in 2022 ÷ population of Canada on July 1, 2022

Inputs

Real GDP, Canada, 2023 (chained 2017 dollars)

DerivedActual

$2,407,055,000,000 ($2.4T)

Period
2023
Unit
Canadian dollars
Stored value
2407055000000

Real GDP per person, Canada, 2023 (chained 2017 dollars)

DerivedActual

$60,142

Period
2023
Unit
Canadian dollars
Stored value
60142.2382655605

Formula: real GDP in 2023 ÷ population of Canada on July 1, 2023

Inputs

Real GDP, Canada, 2024 (chained 2017 dollars)

DerivedActual

$2,456,309,750,000 ($2.5T)

Period
2024
Unit
Canadian dollars
Stored value
2456309750000

Real GDP per person, Canada, 2024 (chained 2017 dollars)

DerivedEstimate

$59,673

Period
2024
Unit
Canadian dollars
Stored value
59673.3483238046

Formula: real GDP in 2024 ÷ population of Canada on July 1, 2024

Inputs

Real GDP, Canada, 2025 (chained 2017 dollars)

DerivedActual

$2,501,835,000,000 ($2.5T)

Period
2025
Unit
Canadian dollars
Stored value
2501835000000

Real GDP per person, Canada, 2025 (chained 2017 dollars)

DerivedEstimate

$60,127

Period
2025
Unit
Canadian dollars
Stored value
60127.2821334586

Formula: real GDP in 2025 ÷ population of Canada on July 1, 2025

Inputs

Change in real GDP, Canada, 2015 to 2025

DerivedActual

21.7%

Period
2015 to 2025
Unit
Ratio, shown as a percentage
Stored value
0.216695209663979

Formula: real GDP in 2025 ÷ real GDP in 2015 − 1

Inputs

Change in the population of Canada, July 1, 2015 to July 1, 2025

DerivedEstimate

16.5%

Period
2015 to 2025
Unit
Ratio, shown as a percentage
Stored value
0.165370872879938

Formula: population of Canada on July 1, 2025 ÷ population on July 1, 2015 − 1

Inputs

Change in real GDP per person, Canada, 2015 to 2025

DerivedEstimate

4.4%

Period
2015 to 2025
Unit
Ratio, shown as a percentage
Stored value
0.0440412043740246

Formula: real GDP per person in 2025 ÷ real GDP per person in 2015 − 1

Inputs

Average yearly growth in real GDP per person, Canada, 2015 to 2025 (compound)

DerivedEstimate

0.4%

Period
2015 to 2025
Unit
Ratio, shown as a percentage
Stored value
0.00431919660477931

Formula: (real GDP per person in 2025 ÷ real GDP per person in 2015) ^ (1 ÷ 10) − 1

Inputs

Share of the growth in real GDP matched by population growth, Canada, 2015 to 2025

DerivedEstimate

78.0%

Period
2015 to 2025
Unit
Ratio, shown as a percentage
Stored value
0.780262457764692

Formula: ln(population on July 1, 2025 ÷ population on July 1, 2015) ÷ ln(real GDP in 2025 ÷ real GDP in 2015)

Inputs

A log decomposition: growth in real GDP equals growth in population plus growth in real GDP per person, in log terms. This is the population part.

Change in real GDP per person, Canada, 2019 to 2025

DerivedEstimate

0.9%

Period
2019 to 2025
Unit
Ratio, shown as a percentage
Stored value
0.00917606993660636

Formula: real GDP per person in 2025 ÷ real GDP per person in 2019 − 1

Inputs

Change in real GDP per person, Canada, 2022 to 2023

DerivedActual

-0.8%

Period
2022 to 2023
Unit
Ratio, shown as a percentage
Stored value
-0.00790637702491503

Formula: real GDP per person in 2023 ÷ real GDP per person in 2022 − 1

Inputs

Change in real GDP per person, Canada, 2023 to 2024

DerivedEstimate

-0.8%

Period
2023 to 2024
Unit
Ratio, shown as a percentage
Stored value
-0.00779635004080648

Formula: real GDP per person in 2024 ÷ real GDP per person in 2023 − 1

Inputs

Change in the population of Canada, July 1, 2022 to July 1, 2023

DerivedActual

2.8%

Period
2022 to 2023
Unit
Ratio, shown as a percentage
Stored value
0.0276558898986043

Formula: population of Canada on July 1, 2023 ÷ population on July 1, 2022 − 1

Inputs

Change in the population of Canada, July 1, 2023 to July 1, 2024

DerivedEstimate

2.8%

Period
2023 to 2024
Unit
Ratio, shown as a percentage
Stored value
0.028481059150826

Formula: population of Canada on July 1, 2024 ÷ population on July 1, 2023 − 1

Inputs

Change in real GDP, Canada, fourth quarter of 2015 to second quarter of 2026

DerivedPreliminary

22.6%

Period
2015 Q4 to 2026 Q2
Unit
Ratio, shown as a percentage
Stored value
0.225574471266969

Formula: real GDP in the second quarter of 2026 ÷ real GDP in the fourth quarter of 2015 − 1

Inputs

Change in real GDP per capita as published, Canada, fourth quarter of 2015 to second quarter of 2026

DerivedPreliminary

6.0%

Period
2015 Q4 to 2026 Q2
Unit
Ratio, shown as a percentage
Stored value
0.0600615748551947

Formula: published real GDP per capita in the second quarter of 2026 ÷ its value in the fourth quarter of 2015 − 1

Inputs

Change in real GDP per person with the revised population, Canada, fourth quarter of 2015 to second quarter of 2026

DerivedEstimate

5.2%

Period
2015 Q4 to 2026 Q2
Unit
Ratio, shown as a percentage
Stored value
0.0524093016087499

Formula: (real GDP in 2026 Q2 ÷ population on April 1, 2026) ÷ (real GDP in 2015 Q4 ÷ population on October 1, 2015) − 1

Inputs

Real GDP per person with the revised population, Canada, second quarter of 2026 (chained 2017 dollars)

DerivedEstimate

$60,504

Period
2026-Q2
Unit
Canadian dollars
Stored value
60504.4136276314

Formula: real GDP in the second quarter of 2026 ÷ population of Canada on April 1, 2026

Inputs

Uses the population as revised on September 23, 2026; the published per-capita series predates that revision.

Real GDP per capita as published, second quarter of 2026 compared with the 2022 peak

DerivedPreliminary

-0.1%

Period
2022 Q3 to 2026 Q2
Unit
Ratio, shown as a percentage
Stored value
-0.00124549328089152

Formula: published real GDP per capita in the second quarter of 2026 ÷ its value in the third quarter of 2022 (the peak) − 1

Inputs

Real GDP per person with the revised population, second quarter of 2026 compared with the third quarter of 2022

DerivedEstimate

-0.9%

Period
2022 Q3 to 2026 Q2
Unit
Ratio, shown as a percentage
Stored value
-0.00856284906099547

Formula: (real GDP in 2026 Q2 ÷ population on April 1, 2026) ÷ (real GDP in 2022 Q3 ÷ population on July 1, 2022) − 1

Inputs

Quarterly change in real GDP, the first quarter of 2025 (current estimate)

DerivedActual

0.7%

Period
2025-Q1
Unit
Ratio, shown as a percentage
Stored value
0.00715585037159938

Formula: real GDP in the first quarter of 2025 ÷ real GDP in the fourth quarter of 2024 − 1

Inputs

Quarterly change in real GDP, the second quarter of 2025 (current estimate)

DerivedActual

-0.2%

Period
2025-Q2
Unit
Ratio, shown as a percentage
Stored value
-0.00242322458731647

Formula: real GDP in the second quarter of 2025 ÷ real GDP in the first quarter of 2025 − 1

Inputs

Quarterly change in real GDP, the third quarter of 2025 (current estimate)

DerivedActual

0.5%

Period
2025-Q3
Unit
Ratio, shown as a percentage
Stored value
0.00471919790863295

Formula: real GDP in the third quarter of 2025 ÷ real GDP in the second quarter of 2025 − 1

Inputs

Quarterly change in real GDP, the fourth quarter of 2025 (current estimate)

DerivedActual

-0.2%

Period
2025-Q4
Unit
Ratio, shown as a percentage
Stored value
-0.0024647553149153

Formula: real GDP in the fourth quarter of 2025 ÷ real GDP in the third quarter of 2025 − 1

Inputs

Quarterly change in real GDP, the first quarter of 2026 (current estimate)

DerivedPreliminary

0.1%

Period
2026-Q1
Unit
Ratio, shown as a percentage
Stored value
0.000811889159340939

Formula: real GDP in the first quarter of 2026 ÷ real GDP in the fourth quarter of 2025 − 1

Inputs

Quarterly change in real GDP, the second quarter of 2026 (current estimate)

DerivedPreliminary

0.8%

Period
2026-Q2
Unit
Ratio, shown as a percentage
Stored value
0.00819738265316716

Formula: real GDP in the second quarter of 2026 ÷ real GDP in the first quarter of 2026 − 1

Inputs

Quarterly change in real GDP, first quarter of 2026, from the levels published May 29, 2026

DerivedPreliminary

0.0%

Period
2026-Q1
Unit
Ratio, shown as a percentage
Stored value
-0.000356975391083925

Formula: real GDP in the first quarter of 2026 ÷ real GDP in the fourth quarter of 2025, both as published on May 29, 2026, − 1

Inputs

Statistics Canada reported the quarter as "unchanged"; the levels in its table slipped by less than a twentieth of a percent.

Longest run of quarterly declines in real GDP per capita since 2023 (current estimates)

DerivedPreliminary

3

Period
2023 Q1 to 2026 Q2
Unit
Count
Stored value
3

Formula: longest run of consecutive quarterly declines in published real GDP per capita, from the first quarter of 2023 to the second quarter of 2026

Inputs

Change in Canada's real GDP per capita relative to the United States, 2015 Q1 to 2025 Q3

DerivedActual

-13.9%

Period
2015 Q1 to 2025 Q3
Unit
Ratio, shown as a percentage
Stored value
-0.138584247258225

Formula: index in the third quarter of 2025 ÷ index in the first quarter of 2015 − 1

Inputs

Change in real GDP per capita, Canada, 2015 to 2025 (OECD)

DerivedActual

4.3%

Period
2015 to 2025
Unit
Ratio, shown as a percentage
Stored value
0.042971612184217

Formula: real GDP per capita in 2025 ÷ real GDP per capita in 2015 − 1 (OECD, constant PPPs)

Inputs

Change in real GDP per capita, United States, 2015 to 2025 (OECD)

DerivedEstimate

19.6%

Period
2015 to 2025
Unit
Ratio, shown as a percentage
Stored value
0.195732501640986

Formula: real GDP per capita in 2025 ÷ real GDP per capita in 2015 − 1 (OECD, constant PPPs)

Inputs

Canada's real GDP per capita as a share of the United States', 2015 (OECD)

DerivedActual

81.3%

Period
2015
Unit
Ratio, shown as a percentage
Stored value
0.812969348469316

Formula: Canada's real GDP per capita ÷ the United States', 2015 (OECD, constant PPPs)

Inputs

Canada's real GDP per capita as a share of the United States', 2025 (OECD)

DerivedEstimate

70.9%

Period
2025
Unit
Ratio, shown as a percentage
Stored value
0.709108392442087

Formula: Canada's real GDP per capita ÷ the United States', 2025 (OECD, constant PPPs)

Inputs

Real GDP per person, Alberta, 2014 (chained 2017 dollars)

DerivedActual

$83,797

Period
2014
Unit
Canadian dollars
Stored value
83796.9348274104

Formula: real GDP of Alberta in 2014 ÷ population of Alberta on July 1, 2014

Inputs

Real GDP per person, Alberta, 2015 (chained 2017 dollars)

DerivedActual

$79,354

Period
2015
Unit
Canadian dollars
Stored value
79354.2975706644

Formula: real GDP of Alberta in 2015 ÷ population of Alberta on July 1, 2015

Inputs

Real GDP per person, Alberta, 2016 (chained 2017 dollars)

DerivedActual

$75,785

Period
2016
Unit
Canadian dollars
Stored value
75785.1346239608

Formula: real GDP of Alberta in 2016 ÷ population of Alberta on July 1, 2016

Inputs

Real GDP per person, Alberta, 2017 (chained 2017 dollars)

DerivedActual

$78,412

Period
2017
Unit
Canadian dollars
Stored value
78412.0113940212

Formula: real GDP of Alberta in 2017 ÷ population of Alberta on July 1, 2017

Inputs

Real GDP per person, Alberta, 2018 (chained 2017 dollars)

DerivedActual

$78,966

Period
2018
Unit
Canadian dollars
Stored value
78965.772374315

Formula: real GDP of Alberta in 2018 ÷ population of Alberta on July 1, 2018

Inputs

Real GDP per person, Alberta, 2019 (chained 2017 dollars)

DerivedActual

$77,899

Period
2019
Unit
Canadian dollars
Stored value
77899.3414347369

Formula: real GDP of Alberta in 2019 ÷ population of Alberta on July 1, 2019

Inputs

Real GDP per person, Alberta, 2020 (chained 2017 dollars)

DerivedActual

$70,953

Period
2020
Unit
Canadian dollars
Stored value
70953.2285345758

Formula: real GDP of Alberta in 2020 ÷ population of Alberta on July 1, 2020

Inputs

Real GDP per person, Alberta, 2021 (chained 2017 dollars)

DerivedActual

$74,256

Period
2021
Unit
Canadian dollars
Stored value
74255.8271622155

Formula: real GDP of Alberta in 2021 ÷ population of Alberta on July 1, 2021

Inputs

Real GDP per person, Alberta, 2022 (chained 2017 dollars)

DerivedActual

$77,184

Period
2022
Unit
Canadian dollars
Stored value
77183.5893786519

Formula: real GDP of Alberta in 2022 ÷ population of Alberta on July 1, 2022

Inputs

Real GDP per person, Alberta, 2023 (chained 2017 dollars)

DerivedActual

$76,154

Period
2023
Unit
Canadian dollars
Stored value
76153.9170381089

Formula: real GDP of Alberta in 2023 ÷ population of Alberta on July 1, 2023

Inputs

Real GDP per person, Alberta, 2024 (chained 2017 dollars)

DerivedEstimate

$75,017

Period
2024
Unit
Canadian dollars
Stored value
75017.2130821464

Formula: real GDP of Alberta in 2024 ÷ population of Alberta on July 1, 2024

Inputs

Change in real GDP per person, Alberta, 2014 to 2024

DerivedEstimate

-10.5%

Period
2014 to 2024
Unit
Ratio, shown as a percentage
Stored value
-0.104773781563094

Formula: Alberta's real GDP per person in 2024 ÷ its value in 2014 − 1

Inputs

Change in real GDP per person, Alberta, 2014 to 2016

DerivedActual

-9.6%

Period
2014 to 2016
Unit
Ratio, shown as a percentage
Stored value
-0.0956097048173756

Formula: Alberta's real GDP per person in 2016 ÷ its value in 2014 − 1

Inputs

Change in real GDP per person, Alberta, 2022 to 2023

DerivedActual

-1.3%

Period
2022 to 2023
Unit
Ratio, shown as a percentage
Stored value
-0.0133405604589275

Formula: Alberta's real GDP per person in 2023 ÷ its value in 2022 − 1

Inputs

Change in real GDP per person, Alberta, 2023 to 2024

DerivedEstimate

-1.5%

Period
2023 to 2024
Unit
Ratio, shown as a percentage
Stored value
-0.0149264016897999

Formula: Alberta's real GDP per person in 2024 ÷ its value in 2023 − 1

Inputs

Change in real GDP, Alberta, 2022 to 2023

DerivedActual

2.5%

Period
2022 to 2023
Unit
Ratio, shown as a percentage
Stored value
0.0247922497308934

Formula: Alberta's real GDP in 2023 ÷ its real GDP in 2022 − 1

Inputs

Change in real GDP, Alberta, 2023 to 2024

DerivedActual

3.0%

Period
2023 to 2024
Unit
Ratio, shown as a percentage
Stored value
0.0299905885516454

Formula: Alberta's real GDP in 2024 ÷ its real GDP in 2023 − 1

Inputs

Change in the population of Alberta, July 1, 2022 to July 1, 2023

DerivedActual

3.9%

Period
2022 to 2023
Unit
Ratio, shown as a percentage
Stored value
0.0386484015270332

Formula: population of Alberta on July 1, 2023 ÷ population on July 1, 2022 − 1

Inputs

Change in the population of Alberta, July 1, 2023 to July 1, 2024

DerivedEstimate

4.6%

Period
2023 to 2024
Unit
Ratio, shown as a percentage
Stored value
0.0455975983099091

Formula: population of Alberta on July 1, 2024 ÷ population on July 1, 2023 − 1

Inputs

Change in the population of Alberta, July 1, 2024 to July 1, 2025

DerivedEstimate

2.5%

Period
2024 to 2025
Unit
Ratio, shown as a percentage
Stored value
0.0250593915086208

Formula: population of Alberta on July 1, 2025 ÷ population on July 1, 2024 − 1

Inputs

Change in real GDP by industry (basic prices), Alberta, 2024 to 2025

DerivedPreliminary

2.7%

Period
2024 to 2025
Unit
Ratio, shown as a percentage
Stored value
0.0265052864323092

Formula: Alberta's real GDP at basic prices in 2025 ÷ its value in 2024 − 1

Inputs

Change in real GDP per person by industry (basic prices), Alberta, 2024 to 2025

DerivedEstimate

0.1%

Period
2024 to 2025
Unit
Ratio, shown as a percentage
Stored value
0.00141054746258207

Formula: (Alberta's real GDP at basic prices in 2025 ÷ population on July 1, 2025) ÷ (the same for 2024) − 1

Inputs

How much more Alberta produces per person than Canada as a whole, 2024

DerivedEstimate

25.7%

Period
2024
Unit
Ratio, shown as a percentage
Stored value
0.25713095023731

Formula: Alberta's real GDP per person in 2024 ÷ Canada's real GDP per person in 2024 − 1

Inputs

Growth in the population of Alberta, July 1, 2021 to July 1, 2026

DerivedPreliminary

669,519

Period
July 1, 2021 to July 1, 2026
Unit
Persons
Stored value
669519

Formula: population of Alberta on July 1, 2026 − population on July 1, 2021

Inputs

Federal debt (accumulated deficit) per person, March 31, 2016

DerivedActual

$17,638

Period
2016-03-31
Unit
Canadian dollars
Stored value
17637.8321212768

Formula: federal accumulated deficit at March 31, 2016 ÷ population of Canada on April 1, 2016

Inputs

Federal debt (accumulated deficit) per person, March 31, 2017

DerivedActual

$17,901

Period
2017-03-31
Unit
Canadian dollars
Stored value
17900.8565535408

Formula: federal accumulated deficit at March 31, 2017 ÷ population of Canada on April 1, 2017

Inputs

Federal debt (accumulated deficit) per person, March 31, 2018

DerivedActual

$18,189

Period
2018-03-31
Unit
Canadian dollars
Stored value
18189.3557418719

Formula: federal accumulated deficit at March 31, 2018 ÷ population of Canada on April 1, 2018

Inputs

Federal debt (accumulated deficit) per person, March 31, 2019

DerivedActual

$18,309

Period
2019-03-31
Unit
Canadian dollars
Stored value
18309.3076592205

Formula: federal accumulated deficit at March 31, 2019 ÷ population of Canada on April 1, 2019

Inputs

Federal debt (accumulated deficit) per person, March 31, 2020

DerivedActual

$18,980

Period
2020-03-31
Unit
Canadian dollars
Stored value
18979.691104317

Formula: federal accumulated deficit at March 31, 2020 ÷ population of Canada on April 1, 2020

Inputs

Federal debt (accumulated deficit) per person, March 31, 2021

DerivedActual

$27,497

Period
2021-03-31
Unit
Canadian dollars
Stored value
27496.6113820333

Formula: federal accumulated deficit at March 31, 2021 ÷ population of Canada on April 1, 2021

Inputs

Federal debt (accumulated deficit) per person, March 31, 2022

DerivedActual

$29,473

Period
2022-03-31
Unit
Canadian dollars
Stored value
29473.4626240117

Formula: federal accumulated deficit at March 31, 2022 ÷ population of Canada on April 1, 2022

Inputs

Federal debt (accumulated deficit) per person, March 31, 2023

DerivedActual

$29,559

Period
2023-03-31
Unit
Canadian dollars
Stored value
29558.6975680064

Formula: federal accumulated deficit at March 31, 2023 ÷ population of Canada on April 1, 2023

Inputs

Federal debt (accumulated deficit) per person, March 31, 2024

DerivedActual

$30,214

Period
2024-03-31
Unit
Canadian dollars
Stored value
30214.4615195319

Formula: federal accumulated deficit at March 31, 2024 ÷ population of Canada on April 1, 2024

Inputs

Federal debt (accumulated deficit) per person, March 31, 2015, in 2025 dollars

DerivedActual

$22,908

Period
2015-03-31
Unit
Canadian dollars
Stored value
22908.4553630023

Formula: federal debt per person at March 31, 2015 × consumer price index for 2025 ÷ consumer price index for 2015

Inputs

Adjusted for inflation with the annual average consumer price index for the calendar year.

Federal debt (accumulated deficit) per person, March 31, 2016, in 2025 dollars

DerivedActual

$22,556

Period
2016-03-31
Unit
Canadian dollars
Stored value
22555.5454385798

Formula: federal debt per person at March 31, 2016 × consumer price index for 2025 ÷ consumer price index for 2016

Inputs

Adjusted for inflation with the annual average consumer price index for the calendar year.

Federal debt (accumulated deficit) per person, March 31, 2017, in 2025 dollars

DerivedActual

$22,541

Period
2017-03-31
Unit
Canadian dollars
Stored value
22540.802500701

Formula: federal debt per person at March 31, 2017 × consumer price index for 2025 ÷ consumer price index for 2017

Inputs

Adjusted for inflation with the annual average consumer price index for the calendar year.

Federal debt (accumulated deficit) per person, March 31, 2018, in 2025 dollars

DerivedActual

$22,389

Period
2018-03-31
Unit
Canadian dollars
Stored value
22388.9970975664

Formula: federal debt per person at March 31, 2018 × consumer price index for 2025 ÷ consumer price index for 2018

Inputs

Adjusted for inflation with the annual average consumer price index for the calendar year.

Federal debt (accumulated deficit) per person, March 31, 2019, in 2025 dollars

DerivedActual

$22,106

Period
2019-03-31
Unit
Canadian dollars
Stored value
22105.7964532648

Formula: federal debt per person at March 31, 2019 × consumer price index for 2025 ÷ consumer price index for 2019

Inputs

Adjusted for inflation with the annual average consumer price index for the calendar year.

Federal debt (accumulated deficit) per person, March 31, 2020, in 2025 dollars

DerivedActual

$22,748

Period
2020-03-31
Unit
Canadian dollars
Stored value
22747.9217469259

Formula: federal debt per person at March 31, 2020 × consumer price index for 2025 ÷ consumer price index for 2020

Inputs

Adjusted for inflation with the annual average consumer price index for the calendar year.

Federal debt (accumulated deficit) per person, March 31, 2021, in 2025 dollars

DerivedActual

$31,885

Period
2021-03-31
Unit
Canadian dollars
Stored value
31885.1948370754

Formula: federal debt per person at March 31, 2021 × consumer price index for 2025 ÷ consumer price index for 2021

Inputs

Adjusted for inflation with the annual average consumer price index for the calendar year.

Federal debt (accumulated deficit) per person, March 31, 2022, in 2025 dollars

DerivedActual

$32,008

Period
2022-03-31
Unit
Canadian dollars
Stored value
32007.5566326899

Formula: federal debt per person at March 31, 2022 × consumer price index for 2025 ÷ consumer price index for 2022

Inputs

Adjusted for inflation with the annual average consumer price index for the calendar year.

Federal debt (accumulated deficit) per person, March 31, 2023, in 2025 dollars

DerivedActual

$30,895

Period
2023-03-31
Unit
Canadian dollars
Stored value
30894.5775981327

Formula: federal debt per person at March 31, 2023 × consumer price index for 2025 ÷ consumer price index for 2023

Inputs

Adjusted for inflation with the annual average consumer price index for the calendar year.

Federal debt (accumulated deficit) per person, March 31, 2024, in 2025 dollars

DerivedActual

$30,834

Period
2024-03-31
Unit
Canadian dollars
Stored value
30834.1490460356

Formula: federal debt per person at March 31, 2024 × consumer price index for 2025 ÷ consumer price index for 2024

Inputs

Adjusted for inflation with the annual average consumer price index for the calendar year.

Federal debt (accumulated deficit) per person, March 31, 2025, in 2025 dollars

DerivedEstimate

$30,521

Period
2025-03-31
Unit
Canadian dollars
Stored value
30521.0462684182

Formula: federal debt per person at March 31, 2025 (the base year, so no adjustment)

Inputs

Share of the 2015-2025 rise in federal debt that came from the 2020-21 deficit

DerivedActual

51.4%

Period
2015 to 2025
Unit
Ratio, shown as a percentage
Stored value
0.514025038662179

Formula: −(budgetary balance for 2020-21) ÷ increase in the accumulated deficit, March 31, 2015 to March 31, 2025

Inputs

Population growth, Canada, 2023 (January 1 to January 1)

DerivedActual

3.0%

Period
2023
Unit
Ratio, shown as a percentage
Stored value
0.0302211401668622

Formula: population of Canada on January 1, 2024 ÷ population on January 1, 2023 − 1

Inputs

Population growth, Canada, 2023, in persons (January 1 to January 1)

DerivedActual

1,193,044

Period
2023
Unit
Persons
Stored value
1193044

Formula: population of Canada on January 1, 2024 − population on January 1, 2023

Inputs

Population growth, Canada, July 1, 2025 to July 1, 2026, in persons

DerivedEstimate

189,425

Period
July 1, 2025 to July 1, 2026
Unit
Persons
Stored value
189425

Formula: population of Canada on July 1, 2026 − population on July 1, 2025

Inputs

Statistics Canada (The Daily, September 23, 2026) called it the lowest July-to-July growth since 1944/1945, and the lowest in percentage terms since 1915/1916.

Population growth, Canada, July 1, 2025 to July 1, 2026

DerivedEstimate

0.5%

Period
July 1, 2025 to July 1, 2026
Unit
Ratio, shown as a percentage
Stored value
0.00455250263032148

Formula: population of Canada on July 1, 2026 ÷ population on July 1, 2025 − 1

Inputs

Population growth, Canada, July 1, 2015 to July 1, 2025, in persons

DerivedEstimate

5,904,484

Period
July 1, 2015 to July 1, 2025
Unit
Persons
Stored value
5904484

Formula: population of Canada on July 1, 2025 − population on July 1, 2015

Inputs

Share of population growth from new permanent residents, Canada, 2015 to 2025

DerivedEstimate

60.7%

Period
July 1, 2015 to July 1, 2025
Unit
Ratio, shown as a percentage
Stored value
0.607227490158327

Share of population growth from the rise in temporary residents, Canada, 2015 to 2025

DerivedEstimate

35.6%

Period
July 1, 2015 to July 1, 2025
Unit
Ratio, shown as a percentage
Stored value
0.356096146589609

Temporary residents as a share of Canada's population, July 1, 2021

DerivedActual

3.5%

Period
2021-07-01
Unit
Ratio, shown as a percentage
Stored value
0.0346758555417457

Formula: temporary residents in Canada ÷ population of Canada, July 1, 2021

Inputs

Temporary residents as a share of Canada's population, October 1, 2021

DerivedActual

3.7%

Period
2021-10-01
Unit
Ratio, shown as a percentage
Stored value
0.0366298232065622

Formula: temporary residents in Canada ÷ population of Canada, October 1, 2021

Inputs

Temporary residents as a share of Canada's population, January 1, 2022

DerivedActual

3.6%

Period
2022-01-01
Unit
Ratio, shown as a percentage
Stored value
0.035581756829161

Formula: temporary residents in Canada ÷ population of Canada, January 1, 2022

Inputs

Temporary residents as a share of Canada's population, April 1, 2022

DerivedActual

3.6%

Period
2022-04-01
Unit
Ratio, shown as a percentage
Stored value
0.0361192019838454

Formula: temporary residents in Canada ÷ population of Canada, April 1, 2022

Inputs

Temporary residents as a share of Canada's population, July 1, 2022

DerivedActual

4.0%

Period
2022-07-01
Unit
Ratio, shown as a percentage
Stored value
0.0397127502989553

Formula: temporary residents in Canada ÷ population of Canada, July 1, 2022

Inputs

Temporary residents as a share of Canada's population, October 1, 2022

DerivedActual

4.5%

Period
2022-10-01
Unit
Ratio, shown as a percentage
Stored value
0.0448048343099217

Formula: temporary residents in Canada ÷ population of Canada, October 1, 2022

Inputs

Temporary residents as a share of Canada's population, January 1, 2023

DerivedActual

4.8%

Period
2023-01-01
Unit
Ratio, shown as a percentage
Stored value
0.0479573061205507

Formula: temporary residents in Canada ÷ population of Canada, January 1, 2023

Inputs

Temporary residents as a share of Canada's population, April 1, 2023

DerivedActual

5.0%

Period
2023-04-01
Unit
Ratio, shown as a percentage
Stored value
0.0497676518087517

Formula: temporary residents in Canada ÷ population of Canada, April 1, 2023

Inputs

Temporary residents as a share of Canada's population, July 1, 2023

DerivedActual

5.5%

Period
2023-07-01
Unit
Ratio, shown as a percentage
Stored value
0.0548907689995159

Formula: temporary residents in Canada ÷ population of Canada, July 1, 2023

Inputs

Temporary residents as a share of Canada's population, October 1, 2023

DerivedActual

6.2%

Period
2023-10-01
Unit
Ratio, shown as a percentage
Stored value
0.0619471873613038

Formula: temporary residents in Canada ÷ population of Canada, October 1, 2023

Inputs

Temporary residents as a share of Canada's population, January 1, 2024

DerivedActual

6.5%

Period
2024-01-01
Unit
Ratio, shown as a percentage
Stored value
0.0651559971043156

Formula: temporary residents in Canada ÷ population of Canada, January 1, 2024

Inputs

Temporary residents as a share of Canada's population, April 1, 2024

DerivedActual

6.8%

Period
2024-04-01
Unit
Ratio, shown as a percentage
Stored value
0.0680844447747967

Formula: temporary residents in Canada ÷ population of Canada, April 1, 2024

Inputs

Temporary residents as a share of Canada's population, July 1, 2024

DerivedEstimate

7.0%

Period
2024-07-01
Unit
Ratio, shown as a percentage
Stored value
0.0704543321651287

Formula: temporary residents in Canada ÷ population of Canada, July 1, 2024

Inputs

Temporary residents as a share of Canada's population, October 1, 2024

DerivedActual

7.2%

Period
2024-10-01
Unit
Ratio, shown as a percentage
Stored value
0.0721310534749442

Formula: temporary residents in Canada ÷ population of Canada, October 1, 2024

Inputs

Temporary residents as a share of Canada's population, January 1, 2025

DerivedActual

7.1%

Period
2025-01-01
Unit
Ratio, shown as a percentage
Stored value
0.0712569741476278

Formula: temporary residents in Canada ÷ population of Canada, January 1, 2025

Inputs

Temporary residents as a share of Canada's population, April 1, 2025

DerivedEstimate

7.1%

Period
2025-04-01
Unit
Ratio, shown as a percentage
Stored value
0.0705070861775822

Formula: temporary residents in Canada ÷ population of Canada, April 1, 2025

Inputs

Temporary residents as a share of Canada's population, July 1, 2025

DerivedEstimate

7.1%

Period
2025-07-01
Unit
Ratio, shown as a percentage
Stored value
0.0705229462234861

Formula: temporary residents in Canada ÷ population of Canada, July 1, 2025

Inputs

Temporary residents as a share of Canada's population, October 1, 2025

DerivedPreliminary

7.1%

Period
2025-10-01
Unit
Ratio, shown as a percentage
Stored value
0.0705338517665273

Formula: temporary residents in Canada ÷ population of Canada, October 1, 2025

Inputs

Temporary residents as a share of Canada's population, January 1, 2026

DerivedPreliminary

6.9%

Period
2026-01-01
Unit
Ratio, shown as a percentage
Stored value
0.0686332125327848

Formula: temporary residents in Canada ÷ population of Canada, January 1, 2026

Inputs

Temporary residents as a share of Canada's population, April 1, 2026

DerivedEstimate

6.7%

Period
2026-04-01
Unit
Ratio, shown as a percentage
Stored value
0.0670848244539823

Formula: temporary residents in Canada ÷ population of Canada, April 1, 2026

Inputs

Temporary residents as a share of Canada's population, July 1, 2026

DerivedPreliminary

6.7%

Period
2026-07-01
Unit
Ratio, shown as a percentage
Stored value
0.0665043048171668

Formula: temporary residents in Canada ÷ population of Canada, July 1, 2026

Inputs

Temporary residents in Canada, October 1, 2024, as a multiple of July 1, 2021

DerivedActual

225.1%

Period
July 1, 2021 to October 1, 2024
Unit
Ratio, shown as a percentage
Stored value
2.25059200603318

Formula: temporary residents on October 1, 2024 ÷ temporary residents on July 1, 2021

Inputs

New permanent residents (Canada) who had held a work permit, at most, July 2025 to June 2026

DerivedPreliminary

129,190

Period
July 2025 to June 2026
Unit
Persons
Stored value
129190

Formula: prior International Mobility Program work permit holders + prior Temporary Foreign Worker Program work permit holders, July 2025 to June 2026

Inputs

At most: IRCC counts each work permit program in its own table, and a person who held permits under both is in each. IRCC's 2025 annual report adds the two tables the same way.

Share of new permanent residents (Canada) who had held a work permit, at most, July 2025 to June 2026

DerivedPreliminary

35.1%

Period
July 2025 to June 2026
Unit
Ratio, shown as a percentage
Stored value
0.350845271233621

Formula: new permanent residents who had held a work permit ÷ all new permanent residents, July 2025 to June 2026

Inputs

At most: IRCC counts each work permit program in its own table, and a person who held permits under both is in each. IRCC's 2025 annual report adds the two tables the same way.

New permanent residents (intended destination Alberta) who had held a work permit, at most, July 2025 to June 2026

DerivedPreliminary

13,110

Period
July 2025 to June 2026
Unit
Persons
Stored value
13110

Formula: prior International Mobility Program work permit holders + prior Temporary Foreign Worker Program work permit holders, July 2025 to June 2026

Inputs

At most: IRCC counts each work permit program in its own table, and a person who held permits under both is in each. IRCC's 2025 annual report adds the two tables the same way.

Share of new permanent residents (intended destination Alberta) who had held a work permit, at most, July 2025 to June 2026

DerivedPreliminary

26.1%

Period
July 2025 to June 2026
Unit
Ratio, shown as a percentage
Stored value
0.261363636363636

Formula: new permanent residents who had held a work permit ÷ all new permanent residents, July 2025 to June 2026

Inputs

At most: IRCC counts each work permit program in its own table, and a person who held permits under both is in each. IRCC's 2025 annual report adds the two tables the same way.

Settlement Program envelope per permanent resident admitted, 2022-23

DerivedActual

$2,225

Period
2022-23 envelope, 2022 admissions
Unit
Canadian dollars
Stored value
2224.94451923143

Formula: Settlement Program envelope, 2022-23 ÷ permanent residents admitted, 2022

Inputs

The envelope is for direct settlement services outside Quebec; the admissions count Canada as a whole, Quebec included, so the figure per person is lower than the spending outside Quebec per person admitted there. Settlement clients are not the same people as the year’s admissions: newcomers stay eligible until they become citizens. The fiscal year (April to March) is set beside the calendar year. The envelope also served Ukrainians, including temporary residents, under CUAET, so none of these is a cost per client.

Settlement Program envelope per permanent resident admitted, 2023-24

DerivedActual

$2,289

Period
2023-24 envelope, 2023 admissions
Unit
Canadian dollars
Stored value
2289.06673901248

Formula: Settlement Program envelope, 2023-24 ÷ permanent residents admitted, 2023

Inputs

The envelope is for direct settlement services outside Quebec; the admissions count Canada as a whole, Quebec included, so the figure per person is lower than the spending outside Quebec per person admitted there. Settlement clients are not the same people as the year’s admissions: newcomers stay eligible until they become citizens. The fiscal year (April to March) is set beside the calendar year. The envelope also served Ukrainians, including temporary residents, under CUAET, so none of these is a cost per client.

Permanent residents admitted and new work-permit holders, 2023

DerivedActual

1,418,067

Period
2023
Unit
Persons
Stored value
1418067

Formula: permanent residents admitted, 2023 + people who began working on new work permits, 2023

Inputs

A person admitted as a permanent resident in 2023 who began a new work permit the same year would be in both counts. Study permits are not included.

Settlement Program envelope per newcomer, counting new work-permit holders, 2023-24

DerivedActual

$762

Period
2023-24 envelope, 2023 arrivals
Unit
Canadian dollars
Stored value
761.60012185602

Formula: Settlement Program envelope, 2023-24 ÷ (permanent residents admitted + new work-permit holders, 2023)

Inputs

The envelope is for direct settlement services outside Quebec; the admissions count Canada as a whole, Quebec included, so the figure per person is lower than the spending outside Quebec per person admitted there. Settlement clients are not the same people as the year’s admissions: newcomers stay eligible until they become citizens. The fiscal year (April to March) is set beside the calendar year. The envelope also served Ukrainians, including temporary residents, under CUAET, so none of these is a cost per client. IRCC’s eligibility rule (2025 Settlement Outcomes Report) names permanent residents, protected persons, resettled refugees and those approved to become permanent residents; it does not name work-permit holders, and it was extended to Ukrainian temporary residents under CUAET. Study-permit holders are not in the denominator. This is the money spread over everyone who arrived to live or work, not a cost per client.

Change in the number of temporary residents in Alberta, July 2025 to July 2026

DerivedPreliminary

-7,957

Period
July 1, 2025 to July 1, 2026
Unit
Persons
Stored value
-7957

Formula: temporary residents in Alberta on July 1, 2026 − on July 1, 2025

Inputs

Asylum claimants, protected persons and related groups in Canada, July 1, 2026, as a multiple of July 1, 2021

DerivedPreliminary

315.1%

Period
July 1, 2021 to July 1, 2026
Unit
Ratio, shown as a percentage
Stored value
3.15081520931532

Formula: asylum claimants, protected persons and related groups on July 1, 2026 ÷ on July 1, 2021

Inputs

Temporary residents as a share of Alberta's population, July 1, 2026

DerivedPreliminary

5.5%

Period
2026-07-01
Unit
Ratio, shown as a percentage
Stored value
0.0547881318552063

Formula: temporary residents in Alberta ÷ population of Alberta, July 1, 2026

Inputs

Temporary residents in Alberta, 2025 average

DerivedPreliminary

285,541.5

Period
2025
Unit
Persons
Stored value
285541.5

Formula: average of the temporary residents in Alberta on January 1, April 1, July 1 and October 1, 2025

Inputs

Temporary residents in Alberta, highest quarterly count since July 2021

DerivedPreliminary

292,366

Period
July 1, 2021 to July 1, 2026
Unit
Persons
Stored value
292366

Formula: highest quarterly count of temporary residents in Alberta, July 1, 2021 to July 1, 2026

Inputs

New temporary residents (inflows), Alberta, 2025

DerivedActual

54,102

Period
2025
Unit
Persons
Stored value
54102

Formula: sum of the four quarterly inflows of temporary residents to Alberta in 2025

Inputs

New temporary residents (inflows), Canada, 2025

DerivedActual

494,481

Period
2025
Unit
Persons
Stored value
494481

Formula: sum of the four quarterly inflows of temporary residents to Canada in 2025

Inputs

Alberta's share of Canada's new temporary residents, 2025

DerivedActual

10.9%

Period
2025
Unit
Ratio, shown as a percentage
Stored value
0.109411686192189

Formula: inflows of temporary residents to Alberta in 2025 ÷ inflows to Canada in 2025

Inputs

New temporary residents (inflows), Alberta, 2023 to 2025

DerivedActual

285,088

Period
2023 to 2025
Unit
Persons
Stored value
285088

Change in the federal target for new temporary residents, 2025 to 2026

DerivedForecast

-42.8%

Period
2025 to 2026
Unit
Ratio, shown as a percentage
Stored value
-0.4284866028353

Formula: target for new temporary residents in 2026 ÷ target for 2025 − 1

Inputs

New arrivals of international students and temporary workers in 2025, about: the number implied by the fall IRCC reports

DerivedEstimate

320,961.2

Period
2025
Unit
Persons
Stored value
320961.226415094

Formula: fall in arrivals from 2024 × (1 − the fall as a share of 2024) ÷ the fall as a share of 2024

Inputs

IRCC rounds the fall to a whole percent, so the number is approximate: the page says about.

Interim Federal Health Program cost, 2024-25, as a multiple of 2020-21

DerivedActual

424.6%

Period
2020-21 to 2024-25
Unit
Ratio, shown as a percentage
Stored value
4.24644549763033

Formula: Interim Federal Health Program cost in 2024-25 ÷ its cost in 2020-21

Inputs

Interim Federal Health Program health spending, 2019-20 (excluding administration)

DerivedActual

$213,685,000 ($213.7M)

Period
2019-20
Unit
Canadian dollars
Stored value
213685000

Formula: basic + supplementary benefits + immigration medical exams in Canada + medical services before overseas refugees travel

Inputs

Interim Federal Health Program health spending, 2020-21 (excluding administration)

DerivedActual

$201,995,000 ($202.0M)

Period
2020-21
Unit
Canadian dollars
Stored value
201995000

Formula: basic + supplementary benefits + immigration medical exams in Canada + medical services before overseas refugees travel

Inputs

Interim Federal Health Program health spending, 2021-22 (excluding administration)

DerivedActual

$277,373,000 ($277.4M)

Period
2021-22
Unit
Canadian dollars
Stored value
277373000

Formula: basic + supplementary benefits + immigration medical exams in Canada + medical services before overseas refugees travel

Inputs

Interim Federal Health Program health spending, 2022-23 (excluding administration)

DerivedActual

$372,351,000 ($372.4M)

Period
2022-23
Unit
Canadian dollars
Stored value
372351000

Formula: basic + supplementary benefits + immigration medical exams in Canada + medical services before overseas refugees travel

Inputs

Interim Federal Health Program health spending, 2023-24 (excluding administration)

DerivedActual

$567,740,000 ($567.7M)

Period
2023-24
Unit
Canadian dollars
Stored value
567740000

Formula: basic + supplementary benefits + immigration medical exams in Canada + medical services before overseas refugees travel

Inputs

Interim Federal Health Program health spending, 2024-25 (excluding administration)

DerivedActual

$848,297,000 ($848.3M)

Period
2024-25
Unit
Canadian dollars
Stored value
848297000

Formula: basic + supplementary benefits + immigration medical exams in Canada + medical services before overseas refugees travel

Inputs

Interim Federal Health Program, total cost after co-payments, 2026-27 (PBO projection)

DerivedForecast

$915,900,000 ($915.9M)

Period
2026-27
Unit
Canadian dollars
Stored value
915900000

Formula: PBO projection with no co-payments + change from co-payments (a negative number)

Inputs

Interim Federal Health Program, total cost after co-payments, 2027-28 (PBO projection)

DerivedForecast

$1,006,900,000 ($1.0B)

Period
2027-28
Unit
Canadian dollars
Stored value
1006900000

Formula: PBO projection with no co-payments + change from co-payments (a negative number)

Inputs

Interim Federal Health Program, total cost after co-payments, 2028-29 (PBO projection)

DerivedForecast

$1,088,500,000 ($1.1B)

Period
2028-29
Unit
Canadian dollars
Stored value
1088500000

Formula: PBO projection with no co-payments + change from co-payments (a negative number)

Inputs

Interim Federal Health Program, total cost after co-payments, 2029-30 (PBO projection)

DerivedForecast

$1,165,900,000 ($1.2B)

Period
2029-30
Unit
Canadian dollars
Stored value
1165900000

Formula: PBO projection with no co-payments + change from co-payments (a negative number)

Inputs

Refugee protection claims pending at the IRB, June 30, 2026, as a multiple of the end of 2021

DerivedActual

493.6%

Period
December 31, 2021 to June 30, 2026
Unit
Ratio, shown as a percentage
Stored value
4.93589216439923

Formula: claims pending on June 30, 2026 ÷ claims pending on December 31, 2021

Inputs

Statistics Canada's September 2026 revision to the count of temporary residents on April 1, 2026

DerivedPreliminary

240,087

Period
2026-04-01
Unit
Persons
Stored value
240087

Formula: temporary residents on April 1, 2026 as revised on September 23, 2026 − as first estimated on June 17, 2026

Inputs

Budget 2024 extension of the Interim Housing Assistance Program, three-year total

DerivedForecast

$1,076,000,000 ($1.1B)

Period
2024-25 to 2026-27
Unit
Canadian dollars
Stored value
1076000000

Formula: sum of the Budget 2024 Interim Housing Assistance Program amounts, 2024-25 to 2026-27

Inputs

Alberta government's cost items for temporary residents, added up

DerivedEstimate

$1,100,000,000 ($1.1B)

Period
Per year (published 2026)
Unit
Canadian dollars
Stored value
1100000000

Formula: K-12 schools + health care + social programs, as estimated by the Alberta government

Inputs

Calculated from the Alberta government's own estimates, which its referendum website does not explain.

Dollars of services per dollar of tax, temporary residents in Alberta (the government's total)

DerivedEstimate

$6.67

Period
Per year (published 2026)
Unit
Canadian dollars
Stored value
6.66666666666667

Formula: Alberta government's total cost estimate ÷ its estimate of taxes paid

Inputs

Calculated from the Alberta government's own estimates, which its referendum website does not explain.

Dollars of services per dollar of tax, temporary residents in Alberta (the government's items added up)

DerivedEstimate

$7.33

Period
Per year (published 2026)
Unit
Canadian dollars
Stored value
7.33333333333333

Formula: Alberta government's cost items added up ÷ its estimate of taxes paid

Inputs

Calculated from the Alberta government's own estimates, which its referendum website does not explain.

Provincial services per temporary resident a year, implied by the government total

DerivedEstimate

$3,502

Period
Per year (published 2026)
Unit
Canadian dollars
Stored value
3502.11790580353

Formula: Alberta government's total cost estimate ÷ temporary residents in Alberta, 2025 average

Inputs

Calculated from the Alberta government's own estimates, which its referendum website does not explain.

Provincial services per temporary resident a year, implied by the cost items

DerivedEstimate

$3,852

Period
Per year (published 2026)
Unit
Canadian dollars
Stored value
3852.32969638389

Formula: Alberta government's cost items added up ÷ temporary residents in Alberta, 2025 average

Inputs

Calculated from the Alberta government's own estimates, which its referendum website does not explain.

Taxes per temporary resident a year, implied by the Alberta government estimate

DerivedEstimate

$525

Period
Per year (published 2026)
Unit
Canadian dollars
Stored value
525.31768587053

Formula: Alberta government's estimate of taxes paid ÷ temporary residents in Alberta, 2025 average

Inputs

Calculated from the Alberta government's own estimates, which its referendum website does not explain.

Alberta government's estimate, cost minus taxes (the government's total)

DerivedEstimate

$850,000,000 ($850.0M)

Period
Per year (published 2026)
Unit
Canadian dollars
Stored value
850000000

Formula: Alberta government's total cost estimate − its estimate of taxes paid

Inputs

Calculated from the Alberta government's own estimates, which its referendum website does not explain.

Alberta government's estimate, cost minus taxes (the items added up)

DerivedEstimate

$950,000,000 ($950.0M)

Period
Per year (published 2026)
Unit
Canadian dollars
Stored value
950000000

Formula: Alberta government's cost items added up − its estimate of taxes paid

Inputs

Calculated from the Alberta government's own estimates, which its referendum website does not explain.

Federal health and social transfers counted on Alberta's temporary residents, 2025-26

DerivedPreliminary

$494,272,337 ($494.3M)

Period
2025-26
Unit
Canadian dollars
Stored value
494272336.5

Formula: Canada Health Transfer and Canada Social Transfer per resident of Alberta, 2025-26 × temporary residents in Alberta, 2025 average

Inputs

drained.ca calculation. Ottawa allocates the Canada Health Transfer and Canada Social Transfer on an equal per capita basis, and Statistics Canada counts temporary residents as residents. The national totals are set by formula, so this is Alberta's share of them, not extra federal money. The Alberta government estimate does not mention it.

Gap on Alberta's books between the government's cost and tax estimates, after federal transfers (government total)

DerivedEstimate

$355,727,664 ($355.7M)

Period
Per year (published 2026)
Unit
Canadian dollars
Stored value
355727663.5

Formula: Alberta government's total cost estimate − its estimate of taxes paid − federal health and social transfers for temporary residents

Inputs

Calculated from the Alberta government's own estimates, which its referendum website does not explain. On Alberta's own books; federal taxes go to Ottawa.

Gap on Alberta's books between the government's cost and tax estimates, after federal transfers (items added up)

DerivedEstimate

$455,727,664 ($455.7M)

Period
Per year (published 2026)
Unit
Canadian dollars
Stored value
455727663.5

Formula: Alberta government's cost items added up − its estimate of taxes paid − federal health and social transfers for temporary residents

Inputs

Calculated from the Alberta government's own estimates, which its referendum website does not explain. On Alberta's own books; federal taxes go to Ottawa.

Gap after federal transfers per temporary resident a year (government total)

DerivedEstimate

$1,246

Period
Per year (published 2026)
Unit
Canadian dollars
Stored value
1245.800219933

Formula: gap after federal transfers (government total) ÷ temporary residents in Alberta, 2025 average

Inputs

Calculated from the Alberta government's own estimates, which its referendum website does not explain. On Alberta's own books; federal taxes go to Ottawa.

Gap after federal transfers per temporary resident a year (items added up)

DerivedEstimate

$1,596

Period
Per year (published 2026)
Unit
Canadian dollars
Stored value
1596.01201051336

Formula: gap after federal transfers (items added up) ÷ temporary residents in Alberta, 2025 average

Inputs

Calculated from the Alberta government's own estimates, which its referendum website does not explain. On Alberta's own books; federal taxes go to Ottawa.

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